Funds

Lesser-known alternatives to Vanguard LifeStrategy

We compare cheap multi-asset funds for your portfolio

Val Cipriani
Val Cipriani

The LifeStrategy funds are among the most successful of those run by Vanguard. The range is cheap and straightforward – you can decide how much risk you want to take and then you don’t have to think about it again. It’s as close as it gets to a ‘set and forget’ portfolio.

But Vanguard is not the only provider offering multi-asset passive funds (sometimes referred to as ‘multi-index’ strategies). There’s a decent range of options, with some notable differences between them.

First, consider whether a fund of this sort makes sense for you and what role it can play in your portfolio. These funds typically invest in a range of single-asset or single-market tracker funds to create a diversified all-in-one portfolio.

“Index-tracking multi-asset funds are generally considered best suited to investors who want simplicity, diversification and a lower-cost exposure to markets,” says Abbas Owainati, head of asset allocation at Charles Stanley.

A crucial advantage is that you can pick whichever fund matches the asset allocation you are targeting (say, 60 per cent equity, 40 per cent bonds) and trust it to maintain that allocation throughout, regardless of what markets do – in short, it removes the need for you to rebalance. This saves you a lot of hassle and potentially some trading fees, depending on your platform and portfolio set-up.

Beginner investors can even just use one multi-index fund for their entire portfolio, keeping things super simple. For more expert investors, these funds can be useful as a straightforward core holding, to which you can then add satellite positions to increase diversification and exposure to specific locations or sectors, incorporating some active management to try and beat the market.

This makes a lot of sense, particularly in the current environment. “I do worry slightly about those who are just using one fund and nothing else – you are placing a lot of reliance on that strategy,” says Ben Yearsley, director at Fairview Investing. “For example, Vanguard has a structural overweight to the UK, which has been great this year but not so good a few years back. With passives, you are also very reliant on the US and the ‘Magnificent Seven’. That’s why I like blending them with other funds.”

The table below lists some of the major series of multi-index funds and their ongoing charges figures (OCFs). As ever with passive investing, cost is an important consideration, particularly given that, in this case, you are often paying a little more than you would if you ran your own portfolio of trackers.

How much do they cost?
Series Ongoing charges figure (%)
BlackRock MyMap 0.17
Fidelity Multi Asset Allocator 0.2
abrdn MyFolio Index 0.2
Vanguard LifeStrategy 0.22
HL Multi-Index 0.3
L&G Multi-Index 0.31
AJ Bell funds 0.31

The series are broadly similar in that they all offer a handful of risk levels, ranging from a cautious fund with only around 20 per cent in stocks to an adventurous option where equity exposure is at 80 to 100 per cent. But they may have specific additions; for example, various providers offer versions of the funds with an environmental, social and governance (ESG) tilt. The L&G Multi-Index series also comprises three income-focused versions.

The table below gives a feel for how these funds have performed, excluding Hargreaves Lansdown’s range which only launched last year. For each series, we have picked the fund with an equity exposure of 70 to 80 per cent; but note that the levels don’t match exactly, which partly explains the performance differences. The funds are ordered according to their five-year returns.

Performance
Fund 1-yr 3-yr 5-yr 10-yr Equity exposure (%)
MSCI ACWI index 12.4 54.8 74.6 235.3 -
BlackRock MyMap 6 (GB00BFBFZ140) 12.1 45.2 53 - 82.8
Vanguard LifeStrategy 80% Equity (GB00B4PQW151) 11.4 41 50.8 149.1 80.5
Fidelity Multi Asset Allocator Adventurous (GB00B893BN59) 9.2 38.2 49.6 140.7 71.9
AJ Bell Moderately Adventurous (GB00BYW8VL77) 12.9 32.7 47.6 - 78.9
abrdn MyFolio Index IV (GB00BHZCQY51) 12.6 37.8 47.4 - 71.4
L&G Multi-Index 6 (GB00B95KML23) 12.7 35.2 43.3 117 68
Performance data to 5 Dec 2025. Equity exposure as at 30 Sep 2025 or 31 Oct 2025. Source: FE, fund factsheets

Despite their broad structural similarity, the ranges can be very different from each other. While they all invest in a basket of tracker funds, they target different strategic allocations and geographical splits.

The LifeStrategy funds are split between bonds and stocks, with no allocation to alternatives; the same applies to the AJ Bell and Hargreaves Lansdown ranges. The others offer some exposure to alternative assets, typically via property and commodities tracker funds.

As mentioned, LifeStrategy is known for its home bias, which until the recent past has not helped returns. This is not uncommon among its competitors, either. The chart below shows the degree of UK exposure offered by the various ranges, using the most aggressive fund of each series for the comparison.

The Fidelity range, however, has no notable home bias. Compared with its competitors, which tend to favour region-specific index funds or exchange traded funds (ETFs), the series relies heavily on global trackers for its equity allocation, leaving it with a geographical split that is closer to that of global indices.

It differentiates itself instead through dedicated exposures to real estate investment trusts (Reits) and global smaller companies, which each account for around 10 per cent of Fidelity Allocator World (GB00B9777B62).

BlackRock also has little home bias, and MyMap 7 (GB00BV49YS59) has a 65.7 per cent exposure to North America, roughly in line with the weighting in the MSCI All Country World index. The range also features a small allocation to alternatives, with MyMap 7 currently holding 3.5 per cent in a physical gold tracker.

Hargreaves’ funds, meanwhile, have a limited home bias and a small dedicated allocation to smaller companies, at 6 per cent of the HL Multi-Index Adventurous fund (GB00BQ3Q5C30).

L&G’s range is perhaps the most diversified. It has a 7.5 per cent exposure to a broad range of alternative assets, including infrastructure and forestry, as well as Reits and commodities. It also has dedicated exposure to artificial intelligence (4 per cent of L&G Multi-Index 7 (GB00B9LF0M88)), global small caps (4 per cent) and frontier markets (2.5 per cent).

AJ Bell’s range is notable for its high exposure not just to UK shares but also to emerging markets. The latter account for 29.8 per cent in AJ Bell Global Growth (GB00BD833W40). The fund is also overweight to Japan and is the most underweight US stocks, which only account for 15 per cent of the total.

Finally, the Aberdeen range has the biggest home bias of all, and small allocations to Reits and infrastructure.

If you are considering a multi-index fund for your portfolio, make sure you check exactly what is in it before going ahead, so that you can have a think about how it interacts with your other holdings and your personal convictions.

For example, you might prefer a simpler version that only features bonds and stocks, and then add dedicated alternatives exposure yourself; or you might wish to pick your own UK funds or stocks separately, in which case you should opt for a range with little home bias. The same applies for small caps and emerging markets, which are typically considered areas where active managers can add considerable value.

Companies

Plus500 and Zegona Communications: Big director share deals this week

Find out which directors are buying and selling shares in their own companies

Mark Robinson
Mark Robinson

Naznin places faith in Plus500’s earnings durability 

Plus500 (PLUS) received a significant show of confidence from management after chief operating officer Alon Cohen Naznin purchased 32,000 shares at £33 each, investing just over £1mn in an on-market transaction following the end of the company’s closed period. 

The timing is notable. Recent trading updates showed resilient performance despite a moderation in market volatility, which is meat and drink for trading platforms, with revenues holding up and margins remaining robust. 

Plus500 reported third-quarter revenue of $183mn (£139mn), down slightly year on year as market volatility eased but still comfortably ahead of historical averages. Cash profits of $82.7mn translated into a margin of around 45 per cent, underlining the potential the platform has to deliver operational gearing. 

Management has reiterated full-year expectations and continued to highlight progress in diversifying the business, including growth in the US futures operation and expansion beyond its traditional contracts-for-difference heartland. Operational discipline and capital returns remain central to the investment case. 

Material director purchases at this level are rarely symbolic. Cohen Naznin’s decision to buy at prevailing prices suggests confidence that the market is undervaluing Plus500’s earnings durability and strategic direction. For investors weighing near-term volatility against longer-term growth, the deal is a meaningful signal from a senior executive close to the company’s day-to-day performance. JH 


Zegona insiders back the ‘buy, fix, sell’ mantra 

Back in August, the IC’s No Free Lunch column ran the rule over Zegona Communications (ZEG), a telecoms group that made headlines for its 2024 capture of Vodafone Spain for an enterprise value of €5bn (£4.4bn). It was one of Europe’s largest reverse takeovers. 

Our column pointed to the group’s generous executive compensation arrangements, or at least the potential thereof, a reflection of its “buy, fix, sell” strategy, which drew comparison with Melrose Industries (MRO). Success or failure on this score tends to be easily discernible, a point not lost on Melrose’s management in the wake of the group’s hostile takeover of engineering giant GKN in 2018. 

There’s certainly no buyer’s remorse on the part of Zegona, not least because its share price has increased by 422 per cent in the intervening period. There may be a little more left in the tank, at least judging by sell-side analysis. The FactSet consensus of the nine analysts covering the stock points to 31 per cent implied upside. It’s too early in the day to go down the road of competitor analysis, but both the group’s gross and cash margins will inform the investment case going forward. 

Three independent non-executive directors at the group – Rita Estevez, Sofia Bergendorff and Suzi Williams – obviously have no qualms about the direction of travel, having recently snapped up £276,910-worth of shares between them. One drawback for retail investors is that insiders and institutional investors are crowding out the share register, but given Zegona’s DNA, it’s not difficult to appreciate why. MR

Buys        
Company Director/PDMR Date Price (p) Aggregate value (£)
3i Group Kevin Dunn (PDMR) 03-Dec 3,010 495,259
Altitude Group Martin Varley 28-Nov 21.8 25,058
BAE Systems Ewan Kirk 05-Dec 1,678 167,800
Cairn Homes Orla O’Connor 27-Nov 175.6 89,556
Domino’s Pizza Ian Bull (ch) 03-Dec 172.4 34,488
Foresight Group Holdings Geoffrey Gavey 03-Dec 404.8 100,277
GetBusy Clive Rabie 28-Nov 71 191,700
Grainger Michael Brodtman 27-Nov 186 30,000
International Public Partnerships Sarah Whitney (ch-d) 03-Dec 122.8 92,101
Ithaca Energy Yaniv Friedman (ch) 01-Dec 174-175 70,000
M&C Saatchi Zaid Al-Qassab (ce) 01-Dec 125 99,988
Metro Bank Robert Sharpe (ch)* 02-Dec 108.7 27,175
NatWest Rick Haythornthwaite (ch) 05-Dec 628 149,945
Pebble Beach Systems Tom Crawford (ch) 03-Dec 17.3 43,000
Pinewood Technologies William Berman (ce) 01-Dec 356.5 49,628
Plus500 Alon Cohen Naznin (coo) 01-Dec 3,303 1,056,960
SSP Karina Deacon 04-Dec 170.7 30,726
SSP Patrick Coveney (ce) 04-Dec 167.7 251,025
Trustpilot Zillah Byng-Thorne (ch) 04-Dec 138 149,240
Trustpilot  Hanno Damm (cfo) 04-Dec 139.8 69,875
Unicorn Mineral Resources Patrick Doherty (ch) * 1-2 Dec 5.5 34,375
WAG Payment Solutions Steve Dryden 03-Dec 97 25,104
Zegona Communications Rita Estevez 27-Nov 1,387 86,022
Zegona Communications Sofia Bergendorff 27-Nov 1,385 80,898
Zegona Communications Suzi Williams 27-Nov 1,393 109,990
Sells        
Company Director/PDMR Date Price (p) Aggregate value (£)
Barclays Denny Nealon (PDMR)  27-Nov 429.4 522,275
Barclays Taalib Shaah (PDMR) 01-Dec 429.5 81,940
Barclays Stephen Shapiro (PDMR) 28-Nov 430-431.5p 450,548
Barclays Stephen Dainton (PDMR) 03-Dec 434.7 998,688
Genel Energy Yetik K. Mert 27-28 Nov 58.3-58.5 29,610
M&G Matthew Howells (PDMR) 28-Nov 272.5 318,825
Marks and Spencer A Freudmann (PDMR) 01-Dec 345.8 124,606
Motorpoint Mark Carpenter (ce) 28-Nov 139 139,000
Rolls-Royce Jorg Stratmann (PDMR) 27-Nov 1,058 2,043,675
Spectris Andrew Heath (ce) 28-Nov 4,132.5 2,892,750
Spectris Derek Harding (PDMR) 28-Nov 4,132-4,132.5 519,303
Staffline Martina McKenzie (PDMR) 03-Dec 45 27,036
Supreme Sandy Chadha (ce) 28-Nov 156 3,120,000
*All or part of deal conducted by spouse / family / close associate.
Economics

The BoE gets squeezed – Economic week ahead: 15-19 December

A raft of UK data will set the tone for the Bank of England’s rate decision next week

Dan Jones
Dan Jones

A raft of releases emerge next week as agencies clear the decks before Christmas and the US continues to play catch-up following the government shutdown. Domestically, the Bank of England’s interest rate decision on Thursday will be preceded by the two datapoints that govern most of its thinking: unemployment and inflation. With the former rising and the latter subsiding, a rate cut is now widely expected.

Looking ahead, forecasts see unemployment rises proving more notable than falls in inflation, putting the central bank in a tough position. A Deutsche Bank survey found UK employees displayed “a marked jump in employment fears” last month, though whether these pre-Budget worries translate into a material downturn is still up for debate.

Monday 15 December

China: House price index, industrial production, retail sales

Eurozone: Industrial production

Japan: Tankan manufacturing index

UK: Rightmove house price index

US: Empire State manufacturing index


Tuesday 16 December

Eurozone: Composite, global & manufacturing PMIs (preliminary), trade balance

Japan: Manufacturing & services PMIs (preliminary)

UK: Composite, global & manufacturing PMIs (preliminary), unemployment rate

US: Composite, manufacturing & services PMIs, housing starts, industrial production, retail sales, unemployment rate


Wednesday 17 December

Eurozone: CPI inflation

Japan: Imports/exports, machinery orders

UK: CPI/PPI/RPI inflation


Thursday 18 December

Eurozone: Construction output

UK: BoE interest rate decision

US: CPI inflation, Kansas Fed manufacturing index, Philadelphia Fed manufacturing index


Friday 19 December

Eurozone: Current account

Japan: CPI inflation, BoJ interest rate decision

UK: GfK consumer confidence, public sector net borrowing, retail sales

US: Michigan consumer sentiment index

Companies

FRP Advisory & Currys: Stock market week ahead – 15-19 December

A summary of key company announcements expected in the coming week

Mark Robinson
Mark Robinson

AGMs: Helium One Global (HE1)

Companies paying dividends: International Public Partnerships (2.14p), Orchard Funding (1p), Wynnstay Property (10.5p), Baillie Gifford Japan Trust (10p), Orchard Funding (1p), Canadian General Investments (C$0.27)


Economics: Unemployment rate

Trading updates: SThree (STEM), Time Finance (TIME)

Finals: Hollywood Bowl (BOWL), WHSmith (SMWH)

AGMs: Shearwater (SWG)

Companies paying dividends: International Paper Co ($0.4625), Softcat (36.5p), Volution (7.4p), Softcat (36.5p)


Economics: Consumer price index, producer price index, retail price index

Finals: Integrafin Holdings (IHP)

AGMs: Beeks Financial Cloud (BKS), First Development Resources (FDR), GCM Resources (GCM), Netcall (NET), Schroder BSC Social Impact Trust (SBSI)

Companies paying dividends: CRH ($0.37), Croma Security Solutions (2.4p)


Economics: BoE interest rate decision

Interims: Currys (CURY), FRP Advisory (FRP)

AGMs: Pipehawk (PIP)

Companies paying dividends: HSBC Holdings ($0.10), Ithaca Energy (6.0757p), Shell (26.85p), Smurfit Westrock ($0.4308), Craneware (18.5p), Tristel (8.52p)


Economics: GFK consumer confidence, public sector net borrowing, retail sales

AGMs: AVI Global Trust (AGT), Wildcat Petroleum (WCAT)

Companies paying dividends: Aberdeen Asia Focus (1.6p), British Smaller Companies VCT (2p), Calnex Solutions (0.31p), FRP Advisory (1p), Goldplat (0.1171p), Ninety One (6p), Partners Private Equity (€0.38), PayPoint (9.9p), Record (2.15p), Sainsbury (J) (15.1p), Schroder BSC Social Impact Trust (3.76p), Seneca Growth Capital VCT (1.5p), Tatton Asset Management (12p), Telecom Plus (38p), Yu Group (22p), BlackRock World Mining Trust (5.5p), BP ($0.0832), Pershing Square Holdings ($0.1646), BlackRock Greater Europe Investment Trust (5.4p)

Companies going ex-dividend on 18 December
Company Dividend Pay date
Pharos Energy 0.3993p 21-Jan
Diverse Income Trust 1.05p 27-Feb
Town Centre Securities 2.5p 08-Jan
United Utilities 17.88p 02-Feb
Pembroke VCT B 3.5p 20-Jan
Invesco Asia Dragon 3.95p 16-Jan
Games Workshop 100p 28-Jan
Halma 9.63p 30-Jan
Lion Finance 2.65 lari 09-Jan
Northern Venture Trust 1.6p 21-Jan
Northern 2 VCT 1.7p 21-Jan
Northern 3 VCT 2p 21-Jan
Smart (J) & Co (Contractors) 2.29p 30-Jan
Palace Capital 3.75p 30-Jan
JPMorgan European Discovery Trust 3p 05-Feb
Topps Tiles 2.1p 30-Jan
STS Global Income & Growth 2.1p 16-Jan
Barings Emerging EMEA Opportunities 13.5p 06-Feb
Volta Finance €0.145 29-Jan
SDCL Efficiency Income 1.59p 28-Jan
News

News round-up: 12 Dec 2025

The biggest investment stories of the past seven days

Alex Hamer
Alex Hamer

Trustpilot hits back at short seller claims

Trustpilot (TRST) has issued a rebuttal to a scathing report by short seller Grizzly Research, which accused the online reviews platform of using “mafia-style” extortion tactics to push businesses to pay for its services. The shares sold off by nearly a third in a single day last week.

The New York-based company alleged the FTSE 250 group creates unsolicited review profiles for a variety of businesses, attracting waves of negative feedback that then push companies to pay for subscription deals to “more actively” manage the reviews that appear on their page.

According to the report, companies that sign up then see their scores “magically” jump from below two stars to more than four, while negative posts are “spuriously” challenged or removed for companies that pay Trustpilot. It also said there was a “concerning pattern” of apparently falsified reviews on the platform.

The short seller argued that the company has “traded the integrity of reviews for revenues”, which it believes will erode Trustpilot’s brand and value proposition. It also suggested that if Google decides the platform’s content reflects badly on its own search results, the tech giant could penalise it and “effectively destroy [its] entire business model”.

Trustpilot rejected the “categorically false” allegations, which it said were built on a “basic misunderstanding” of how its platform works and contained multiple false claims intended to influence the share price. The company also stressed that 97 per cent of the businesses listed on the site do not pay for any subscription at all.

Most of its free profiles, around 70 per cent of the total, still hold a five-star rating, which it said debunks the idea that negative reviews are being used as leverage. Trustpilot also denied treating paying businesses differently to non-paying equivalents and sought to emphasise the amount of moderation work that it said took place behind the scenes.

The company said it has removed 6.7mn reviews this year alone, with around 200 staff working specifically on trust and fraud detection. Action was also taken against 330 companies with subscriptions, with 39 of those accounts cancelled for cherry-picking positive reviews or posting fake feedback.

Trustpilot said it was “considering all appropriate options” in response to what it calls “demonstrably false” claims. In a show of confidence, senior leaders, including chief executive Adrian Blair, chair Zillah Byng-Thorne and chief financial officer Hanno Damm, have all bought shares since the report was published. The share price had climbed back to 164p as of Wednesday, compared with the pre-short report level of 190p.

The reviews company had already seen a 38 per cent drop in its market value in 2025 before Grizzly’s intervention, after a run-up between 2023 and March this year. VM


Restore sells struggling division and lifts guidance 

Shares in Restore (RST) jumped 8 per cent after the business services provider raised profit guidance for both 2025 and 2026, and announced it had sold its underperforming corporate relocations arm, Harrow Green.

Pickfords Move Management will buy the division for £5.5mn in cash, although £2mn of that depends on how it performs in 2026. Restore expects to book a non-cash loss of around £3mn, along with £2mn of extra cash costs tied mainly to exiting its head office site.

Stripping out Harrow Green, which was only forecast to deliver a £1.6mn profit this year, adjusted pre-tax profits are now set to come in ahead of current market expectations of £39.6mn. As a result, the company is on track to hit its 20 per cent medium-term adjusted operating margin target this year. 

Restore also upgraded its 2026 outlook despite a £1mn hit from higher business rates announced in the Autumn Budget. Given that the company runs mostly warehouse space to store boxes, the move will increase costs by 10 per cent, partially offsetting the savings from its property consolidation programme.

However, “good” organic growth in its digital scanning and outbound communications units means management now thinks 2026 profits will be ahead of the average consensus estimate of £46.5mn, with a range of £43.1mn to £49mn. VM


Cool reception for Unilever ice cream spin-off

Magnum Ice Cream Company (MICC) has started trading on Euronext Amsterdam, the New York Stock Exchange and London’s main market this week, after the long-awaited spin-off from consumer goods giant Unilever (ULVR) was finalised last weekend.

The carve-out has created the world’s largest standalone ice cream business, and includes brands such as Ben & Jerry’s, Cornetto, Wall’s and Popsicle.

Magnum Ice Cream started trading with an implied market capitalisation of €7.8bn (£6.8bn), on the basis of an initial 612mn shares in issue, changing hands at €12.88 apiece. 

Unilever retains a minority stake of just under 20 per cent, which it plans to sell down over time to support separation costs.

Morningstar analyst Diana Radu said Magnum could increase growth as a solo entity. “Within Unilever, it lacked a dedicated salesforce and tailored investment programme, which contributed to periods of underperformance and a relatively flat market share over the past decade,” she said, adding that there had been some forced selling in the first days of MICC trading as UK institutional holders exited due to the Dutch domicile. 

Dan Coatsworth, head of markets at AJ Bell, was less bullish. “The whole reason behind the corporate split was that the ice cream arm was lower growth and more seasonal in terms of demand than the rest of Unilever, so certain investors might feel they also don’t want to retain such interests in their portfolio,” he said. 

The move is part of Unilever’s strategy to streamline and refocus its efforts on its beauty and personal care brands, such as Dove and Vaseline. EW


Anglo American wins over Teck shareholders  

The mega-mining merger of Anglo American (AAL) and Teck Resources (CA:TECK.B) has cleared another hurdle, with Teck shareholders backing the £38bn tie-up. Almost 90 per cent of ‘B’ class shareholders supported the plan. Anglo shareholders also backed the deal as expected in a vote in London on Tuesday. Teck has two classes of shares, with the supervoting ‘A’ shares held by the founding Keevil family, who were supportive of the combination. 

Analysts had said Anglo was gambling on getting the backing of the ‘B’ shareholders when the deal was announced in September, given the “zero premium and weak share price”, in the words of Panmure Liberum analyst Duncan Hay. Anglo’s share price has climbed since September, when the two miners announced the deal, as BHP (BHP) launched and then quickly dropped another move on the FTSE 100 miner. 

Canadian regulatory sign-off is not expected until the end of 2026, with the government of Prime Minister Mark Carney looking for guarantees that Anglo Teck will retain significant ties to the country. The combined company’s corporate headquarters will be in Vancouver, while Anglo has also pledged to support exploration projects in Canada. 

The vote in London passed easily, but shareholders forced a last-minute U-turn on bonuses that were to be awarded to Anglo chief executive Duncan Wanblad and other executives on completion of the deal. Legal & General and others campaigned against the plan, alongside proxy voting firms Glass Lewis and ISS. The change to the remuneration policy would have seen long-term bonuses paid out at 62.5 per cent of the maximum on completion. ISS said “the linking of variable incentives to the completion of transactions is not considered good practice”. 

“Anglo American strongly believes that the proposed amendment represents the most practical way to support the merger process and the principles and objectives set out in the circular but, having reflected carefully on shareholders’ concerns, has therefore decided to withdraw Resolution 2 from the agenda of the general meeting,” the company said. AH


British American Tobacco disappoints with buyback

British American Tobacco (BATS) has announced a new buyback programme worth less than the £1.5bn expected by analysts. The company will buy back £1.3bn in shares – its second such programme in recent months. Shares dropped initially on the trading update but rebounded in the following days.

Citi analyst Simon Hales said the buyback figure fell just shy of the figure the market had been expecting, after the company launched a £1.6bn buyback in October.

The FTSE 100 company also said it expects to achieve its targets for 2025, which include total revenue growth of 2 per cent on a constant currency basis. The board indicated that full-year adjusted profit from operations growth should also land at 2 per cent. 

BATS reported “stronger double-digit revenue growth” in its new categories division over the second half, driven by higher volumes. New categories include its ‘smoke-free’ Velo nicotine pouches and Vuse vape brands.

Meanwhile, its cigarettes unit – which still makes up four-fifths of group revenue – delivered a robust performance, with volumes broadly flat. The board reaffirmed its target of increasing revenue by 3 to 5 per cent for 2026, and boosting adjusted earnings per share growth to between 5 and 8 per cent. EW

Opinion

Is this metals group heading for new highs?

Trader Michael Taylor is keeping an eye on a platinum group metals producer

Michael Taylor

The next time you hear from me we’ll be closer to 2030 than 2020. We’re nearing the second half of the decade, and the first half has been eventful. We kicked it off with Covid-19, Donald Trump being impeached, Joe Biden narrowly winning the presidency and Russia invading Ukraine. Then Hamas attacked Israel, Israel declared war and invaded Palestine, and Trump became president again.

A lot has happened, and in the age of artificial intelligence (AI) and misinformation, I believe that market moves will become more volatile. We have seen this with crypto, where large moves have occurred because of the high use of leverage and short-term speculation in the market. Crypto is, I believe, here to stay, and yet nobody uses bitcoin to buy anything. It remains a speculative asset with no real utility.

What can we expect for 2026? Even the brightest and best-funded minds can’t predict the future. All we can really expect is the unexpected; what is normal and accepted can always change. While I thought the days of lofty price/earnings (PE) ratios would be gone now that money is no longer free, if people accept high PEs as normal now then who am I to argue?

Coming into the new year, I think it’s reasonable to take some time out to look at your positions. Test your assumptions – have the facts changed? Look at your open trades and look at your data. Make sure you’re not just holding a book of longs. As a trader much better than I once said: “Lazy longs don’t stay lazy for long.”

For traders, the game remains the same. Look for stocks breaking out of early-stage bases and ride the trend using sensible position sizing and risk management.

One stock that is now on my watchlist is Sylvania Platinum (SLP). Sylvania is a South Africa-based company that produces platinum group metals (PGMs) such as platinum, palladium and rhodium. Sylvania is consistently profitable, although those profits can vary wildly and are dependent on the prices of the metals it sells. For example, in 2021 the company posted a net profit of $99.8mn (£74.7mn) yet in 2024 this was down to just $7mn. Forecasts for 2026 are $58.6mn against a current market cap of £234mn.

To give a further idea of how volatile these profits can be, the price of rhodium, platinum and palladium are all up 50 per cent year to date.

Essentially, an investment in Sylvania Platinum is a bet that these prices will hold or go higher. But I am not an investor, and I’m looking to trade the stock.

Chart 1 (see below) shows the turbulence of the stock over the past decade.

It had a meteoric six-year rise before a steady four-year downtrend. However, that trend could now be changing. Note how the volume spiked back in early 2016 and was the signal for a huge rally. This is because volumes can often speak volumes. Lots of trading in considerable size shows shares swapping hands, and this can be an indicator of a seller clearing.

In Chart 2, we can see a steady uptrend that has taken hold of the stock.

Naturally, no uptrend is guaranteed, but we can see from Chart 2 that the moving averages are all moving upwards and pointing north, and volumes are generally higher on up days than down days.

This is a sign of accumulation, and the stock is being held. Even in this period of drawdown, the stock is less than 20 per cent off its highs, which is perfectly normal in an uptrend period. There are always profit takers, and the stock should be acting like a tennis ball, bouncing back up, rather than an egg, which goes splat.

To trade this, I am looking for a breakout of 96p. This would signal to me that the stock is ready to move to new highs.

I also want the stock to tighten up and allow me an entry where I can place a tight stop-loss. This puts the risk to reward in my favour as the tighter the stop-loss, the less upside the stock has to generate in order to capture a multiple of my risk.

There is no point setting tight stops for the sake of tight stops, though. Make sure it is logically thought out, say below a recent low to give some room for stop-loss liquidity, but not so far away that it stunts your upside.

Opinion

VCTs: Why the Budget changes were a missed opportunity

The government’s priority should be simplifying tax, not complicating it

Paul Jackson

The recent Budget slashed income tax relief on new venture capital trust (VCT) investments for the next tax year by a third from 30 per cent to 20 per cent (except for Northern Ireland). The last time tax relief was cut, fund flows fell by two-thirds and took 15 years to recover – so by how much will new capital-raisings fall this time? 

To beat the April deadline, it’s feasible that current fundraisings might increase, but Oliver Bedford, the lead fund manager at Hargreave Hale, says that VCTs will probably have already maximised how much they can prudently raise. Thirty per cent of new cash has to be invested by the VCT during the first year. That might sound limited, but it can take months to find suitable investments. The bulk of the balance has to be invested over the next two years. At least 80 per cent of each VCT’s total investments must also be in qualifying companies. 

If the VCT is close to this limit and they’re sold or fall in value, non-qualifying investments may have to be sold as well. Proceeds are returned to shareholders as buybacks or dividends. That lowers the net asset value of the fund. Constraints such as these mean that when raising more capital, managers must estimate likely sales and how much cash will be needed both for follow-on investments in their existing investee companies and for new proposals. A breach could threaten the VCT’s favourable tax status.  

VCTs currently can invest only up to £5mn a year and no more than £12mn in total in any single company (£20mn for ‘knowledge-intensive’ companies). These limits have been frozen for almost 10 years without making any allowance for inflation. To scale-up further, investee companies have been driven to seek funding from elsewhere, often from the US. The good news is that the recent Budget doubled these limits from April 2026. This will “allow us to back our winners for longer,” says Will Fraser-Allen, managing partner of Albion VCTs. “It aligns the scheme with the reality of scaling a business in 2025, where rounds are larger and companies stay private for longer.” 

For example, Albion VCTs’ star investment is Quantexa. Albion invested early, invested again in 2018 and 2020, but then hit the lifetime investment limit. Subsequent funding came from abroad. Quantexa is a British unicorn. It was recently valued at $2.6bn (£1.6bn). Those limits resulted in the VCTs, their shareholders and the broader UK economy missing out on benefits from much of that meteoric growth. Albion is currently up against its limit on other investee companies, such as Elliptic, a global leader in cryptoasset risk management, but will now be able to invest further after April. 

This change, together with reduced capital flows due to lower income tax relief, mean that mature VCTs will have to fall back more on sales of investee companies to make new and follow-on investments – a tough ask for newer VCTs. This suggests that, going forward, VCT share prices may become more resilient. Dividends, however, may edge lower. 

The Treasury expects ‘savings’ of £205mn by 2031 from these changes – but their calculations don’t seem to include the contribution VCTs make to UK economic growth. For example, how much are the British jobs worth that VCTs help to create – mostly skilled jobs that appeal to the very cohort (of younger talented workers) who may be considering whether or not to leave Britain? Treasury logic seems to be that the more they can choke off future VCT investment, the more they’ll save.

The stated rationale takes into account “a behavioural response whereby investors alter or reduce the way they invest into VCTs, including reallocating some investment to the Enterprise Investment Scheme (EIS).” EIS tax relief will remain at 30 per cent, but the risk is concentrated in single companies that investors part-own directly. Because of their higher risk, they’re also already more tax-advantaged than VCTs: capital gains can be offset against EIS investments; EIS failures qualify for income tax rebates; successes are exempt from inheritance tax.

Fortunately, there’s a consultation about the Budget changes. This ought to be a no-brainer. A truly pro-growth government would be simplifying tax, not complicating it. It would index-link the various VCT caps and constraints – and it might also question whether all of them are still necessary. It would value VCT tax relief as a cheap way of boosting the supply of future scale-up investment – instead of regarding VCT tax relief as tax avoidance, its priority should be the removal of impediments to growth so that it could reap the wider economic benefits.

VCT fundraising
2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007-2021 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26
Upfront tax relief 20% 40% 40% 30% 30% 30% 30% 30% 30% 20%
VCT funds raised (£m) 50 505 779 257 14 more years below 779 1,134 1,078 882 895 -
Source: 2003-2007 Evelyn Partners; 2007-2024 the Association of Investment Companies
Companies

Three FTSE 250 plays for 2026

UK mid-caps stand to benefit from a potential rotation out of loftily rated stocks across the Atlantic

Mark Robinson
Mark Robinson

It’s crystal bauble time again. The festive season affords us the opportunity to appraise our capital allocations in anticipation of changing economic trends, taxation issues or simply an evolving marketplace. You may have even decided to reassess your investment objectives in response to changing personal circumstances. Whatever the reason, a year-end assessment makes sense even for those among us who have sought to bypass short-term market volatility through the pursuit of buy-and-hold strategies.

This year has been characterised by periodic volatility in response to the introduction of new tariff policies in the US, while doubts re-emerged over whether the likes of Meta (US:META) and Microsoft (US:MSFT) will ever see returns commensurate with the billions they have poured into the artificial intelligence (AI) space.

We exit the year with warnings over ‘stretched valuations’ ringing in our ears, although one suspects that matters are rather more acute across the Atlantic. The FTSE 100 index is 17 per cent to the good in 2025 and came within a whisper of the 10,000 mark midway through November. The S&P 500 has registered similar gains, although it’s well appreciated that the US benchmark has become a distinctly top-heavy affair, therefore more prone to dramatic shifts based on institutional sentiment towards just a handful of stocks.

It may well be that the seemingly antiquated nature of the FTSE 100, with heavy weightings ascribed to energy, industrials, consumer staples, healthcare and financials, will hold it in good stead ahead of any ripple effects in the wake of a tech sell-off stateside. The general feeling is that the UK benchmark will be less susceptible to any sustained correction than its US counterpart during 2026, a point borne out by their respective price/earnings multiples of 19.1 and 27.9 times.

The FTSE 100 lost around a tenth of its value in the week following the announcement of the so-called “liberation day” tariffs, wholly understandable given that its constituents generate over 80 per cent of their sales from overseas markets. But the ratings recovered in fairly short order.

We could witness further tariff-induced trade ructions if the US Supreme Court rules that the US president does not have definitive tariff powers under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act. Any such ruling would almost certainly usher in another period of instability for corporations that are disproportionately reliant on export channels.

With this in mind, it may well be worthwhile taking a closer look at the more domestically focused FTSE 250 index, not least because borrowing costs in the UK look set to fall further in 2026. Admittedly, its return in the year to date of 6.5 per cent pales by comparison to its blue-chip counterpart. It usually displays greater volatility and is more vulnerable to everyday domestic issues, as reflected by its oscillations during the cost of living crisis. It’s also fair to say that it isn’t synonymous with income generation, at least not to the same degree as the UK benchmark. Yet because of the FTSE 100’s outperformance in 2025, the FTSE 250 now offers a superior yield of 3.6 per cent, while the aggregate capital returns over the past 20 years stand at 75.4 and 160.3 per cent, respectively.

If we are indeed witness to a sudden correction, or even a spot of profit-taking in relation to the Magnificent Seven tech cohort, along with more confusion and political intervention from Washington on the tariff front, it’s conceivable that bargain UK mid-caps could be a prime beneficiary of any consequent rotation out of the leading US stocks.

The domestic focus of the FTSE 250 does present something of an issue given that the chancellor appears to be trying to grow the economy while simultaneously loading costs on business. But assuming that appetite towards the US tech heavyweights starts to wane, any consequent influx of foreign capital into the UK will be predicated on current valuations versus long-run averages, an opportunity where UK mid-caps are concerned. It’s worth noting that the chancellor’s tax-raising initiatives actually found favour with bond markets, at least initially, and have also increased chances for further rate cuts in the first half of 2026 – another positive scenario for this particularly interest-rate sensitive corner of the market.

With this in mind, we’ve identified a trio of FTSE 250 constituents that stand to benefit from any upcoming turmoil across the pond, albeit for differing reasons. All trade below their historical multiples, have momentum characteristics, while offering options for income seekers. They also remain in uptrend based on technical signals in 2025.

Company Price (p) High 1-yr (p) Low 1-yr (p) % change-1y  % change-5y  PE DY Market-cap (£mn)
IG Group  1,154 1,163 913 18.9 37.9 10.1 4.1 3,940
Mitie Group 161 165.8 106.6 48.5 294 13 2.7 2,135
Kier Group 218.5 231.5 115.2 50.7 197 10.6 3.3 967
Source: LSEG
Ideas

A core UK holding for income investors

The domestic market may have fallen out of fashion among some, but this trust remains popular for investors seeking regular payouts

Holly McKechnie
Holly McKechnie

UK equity income funds have long been a default option for dividend investors, and with good reason. Thanks to an established dividend culture, the UK market is home to a plethora of high-yielding companies, making it a natural choice for those looking for income-producing investments. 

However, selecting the best income-focused fund for your portfolio is not always straightforward. Prioritising high yield in the short term can come at the expense of continuous dividend growth over time. Additionally, while capital growth may not be a priority for income investors, you do not want to select a trust that neglects it entirely. 

Schroder Income Growth (SCF) strikes a sensible balance between these factors, making it a solid option if you are looking to add a UK-focused income fund to your portfolio.

Schroder Income Growth bull points

  • Long track record of continuous dividend growth 

  • Respected portfolio manager 

  • Well positioned post-Budget 

The trust has two main ambitions: to deliver income growth in excess of the rate of inflation, and capital growth derived from rising income. To achieve this, it adopts a barbell approach to portfolio construction, prioritising neither growth nor value companies in its portfolio, instead selecting a mix of both. 

“We will have some high-yield companies where we feel that the dividend is secure,” says Sue Noffke, Schroders’ head of UK equities and the manager of Schroder Income Growth. “We will also have some growing dividend companies, and those that have an average yield within the market but where we think growth could be stronger,” she adds. 

Currently, the trust has 46 holdings, and its top 10 is dominated by UK heavyweights such as AstraZeneca (AZN), HSBC (HSBA) and Lloyds Banking Group (LLOY). It is notably overweight to financials, healthcare and consumer discretionary stocks. 

Top 10 holdings (%)
AstraZeneca 7.4
HSBC 6.9
Lloyds Banking Group 4.6
Shell 4.6
Standard Chartered 4.1
National Grid 3.9
GSK 3.6
Prudential 3.5
Rio Tinto 3.3
Balfour Beatty 3.1
Source: Trust’s factsheet, as at 31 Oct 2025

While the UK economy has clearly faced challenges of late, Noffke argues that this presents an opportunity for income investors, particularly as a high percentage of UK companies’ revenue is derived elsewhere. 

“The attraction of the UK is that you get international earnings at a discount valuation,” she says. “Revenues from the UK market are somewhere between 75 and 85 per cent derived from outside the UK, so the UK equity market is not fully representative of the UK economy.” 

Schroder Income Growth bear points

  • Sensitivity to UK market outlook 

  • High ongoing charge

The trust also has a notable focus on small and mid-cap companies, despite this sub-segment falling notably out of favour in recent years. “We think there is a medium- to longer-term opportunity there because there are a lot of growth companies and the dividend yield available is higher than [for] the FTSE 100, and they are participating to a greater degree in the capital return story through share buybacks,” Noffke says.

This could leave the trust well positioned if UK small and mid-caps were to witness a recovery. “Given current mid-cap valuations, and their dividend growth and earnings recovery potential, the trust’s overweight exposure offers meaningful upside if sentiment improves, while also supporting the portfolio’s underlying income potential,” says Josef Licsauer, an investment trust research analyst at Kepler Partners.

On the whole, the trust’s strategy has paid off, and it usually outpaces its industry peers. Over the past financial year, however, it lagged the FTSE All-Share, generating a total return in net asset value (NAV) of 9.6 per cent, compared with 12.6 per cent for the index. Noffke attributes this to the companies the trust didn’t hold, rather than the underperformance of those that it did. She cites the absence of Rolls-Royce (RR.) and being underweight other top performers in the defence and aerospace sector as a key detractor. 

The trust remains committed to its strategy, as well as its belief in the long-term growth prospects of, and the higher dividend yields provided by, UK small and mid-cap businesses. 

Of course, it is difficult to talk about investing in the UK at the moment without considering the recent Autumn Budget, which has been widely criticised for failing to address the UK economy’s lack of growth. 

Noffke believes that while the Budget was not overwhelmingly positive for UK businesses, it was “good enough”, both in terms of placating Labour backbenchers – and, therefore, delivering a degree of political stability – and because it did not spook the gilt market, allowing UK assets some breathing space in which to perform. 

Inevitably, there will be some winners and losers. The fact that the banking sector escaped relatively unscathed will be a boost for the portfolio, given its higher weighting to financials (35.7 per cent, versus the benchmark’s 28.3 per cent).

However, there was little relief for the hospitality and retail sectors, which are still struggling following emploer national insurance and minimum wage increases.

Proposed business rate reforms will probably prove to be a mixed bag. The lower business rates on offer for smaller businesses will be welcomed, but this is being funded by higher rates for companies with more expensive properties. The trust’s relatively limited exposure to these sectors could therefore prove to be a positive in the coming months. 

At 4.4 per cent, the trust’s dividend yield is marginally higher than the AIC UK Equity Income sector average of 4 per cent. What sets Schroder Income Growth apart, though, is its status as an AIC dividend ‘hero’. This accolade has been earned by achieving consistent dividend growth for the past 30 years. 

Over the past financial year, the trust’s dividend growth was 3.5 per cent – an impressive achievement during a year when the UK faced both unfavourable exchange rates and a move towards share buybacks, Licsauer argues.

“Against that backdrop, the trust’s growth in both earnings and dividend is encouraging, underpinned by its broad income sources, exposure to businesses buying back shares sustainably and the board’s supportive reserve policy,” he says. 

In addition, shareholders now benefit from a policy of smoothed dividend distribution, instituted by the trust’s board in 2025. This is particularly helpful for investors looking for consistent income. The trust distributes its dividend on a quarterly basis. Under the new policy, shareholders are able to receive a larger proportion of the yearly dividend during the first three payments than previously. 

Over the past year, the board has also taken other steps to keep shareholders happy and enhance returns. These include reducing the trust’s management fee from 0.45 per cent to 0.4 per cent. In addition, fees for company secretarial and administration services have been removed.

The trust’s board has also introduced a discount control policy targeting a single-digit discount in order to reduce volatility for shareholders, and this policy is paying off. Currently, the trust is trading at a 6.9 per cent discount, placing it in the top spot in recent Stifel analysis of the investment trusts trading at the narrowest discounts compared with their six-month averages.  

Yet Mick Gilligan, head of managed portfolio services at Killik & Co, warns that investors should still keep in mind that the fees for the trust remain relatively high. “This is largely a function of the trust’s size. At a £227mn market cap, it ranks 13th out of 18 in the AIC UK Equity Income sector,” he says. “At this size, fixed costs have a larger impact, and below-average liquidity is reflected in a wider than average bid-offer spread.” 

Schroder Income Growth (SCF)
Price (p) 336p Share price discount to NAV -6.90%
AIC sector UK Equity Income Gearing 9%
Market cap £227.6mn Ongoing charge 0.80%
Share price dividend yield 4.40% More details www.schroders.com
Source: AIC, 08/12/2025
Ideas

Things are looking up for this undervalued lender

Rate cuts and deregulation potential bolster this UK challenger bank’s prospects

Erin Withey
Erin Withey

The ‘big six’ banks – Barclays (BARC), HSBC (HSBA), Lloyds (LLOY), Nationwide (NBS), NatWest (NWG) and Santander (BNC) – might provide 74 per cent of all mortgages in the UK, but in its field OSB Group (OSB) punches well above its weight.

The FTSE 250-listed company is the UK’s largest independent specialist buy-to-let (BTL) lender – a market where the big six have relinquished control, managing just over half of these mortgages. 

OSB bull points

  • Resilient buy-to-let lending base

  • Rate cuts to boost net interest margin

  • Deregulation could unlock capital

While under-investment meant OSB failed to re-price assets quickly enough as interest rates rose, leading to a derating and a string of profit warnings in 2023-24, the bank is now three years into a five-year transformation programme and has put the worst behind it.

As a result, the shares have been on an upswing, rising by two-fifths over the past 12 months. Yet at just 7.5 times forward earnings, for the patient investor the value opportunity remains.

BTL lending makes up 70 per cent of OSB’s loan book, and with the Renters’ Rights Act expected to increase the regulatory burden on landlords when it comes into force next year, OSB’s reliance on the BTL mortgage market could pose a revenue concentration risk.

OSB’s medium-term targets – which include reducing BTL lending to less than 60 per cent of its total loan book – prove a tacit acknowledgment of this. However, BTL will ultimately continue to make up the majority of OSB’s loan book through to 2029. It is therefore worth understanding why the bank seems happy to keep it.

Much of the BTL loan book’s appeal comes from the fact that it specifically serves ‘professional’ landlords, whose multi-property portfolios better place them to withstand rising costs and regulation. As navigating such challenges for just one property grows increasingly unappealing, more ‘amateur’ landlords will exit the market, placing upward pressure on rents. From this, professional landlords stand to gain.

OSB bear points

  • Revenue concentrated in buy-to-let lending

  • Business is interest-rate sensitive

  • Long-standing chief executive to retire in 2026

Panmure Liberum analyst Ross Luckman says that, as a result, the “structural growth fundamentals remain robust” in the UK rental market. He estimates that OSB’s share of the BTL lending market will grow by 0.5 to 1 per cent per year.

Even so, it doesn’t hurt to diversify. OSB plans to do this by building on its existing underwriting expertise in higher-yielding areas, where risk-adjusted returns are higher. 

Over the medium term, OSB plans to dedicate more of its balance sheet to categories such as specialist residential mortgages, lending to those who are self-employed or part of a shared ownership scheme, and development and asset finance, where OSB lends to fund housebuilding by developers, or critical assets such as construction machinery for small businesses. OSB’s key differentiator is its ability to offer bespoke underwriting where the big six banks are not involved. 

Deregulation in the banking sector is good news for OSB’s capital efficiency and cost of funding. As a smaller bank, the most important reforms for OSB relate to the ‘minimum requirement for own funds and eligible liabilities’ (MREL) legislation.

MREL currently applies to banks with total assets north of £15bn, and mandates that they hold enough equity and issue specific debt that can be written down should the firm fail. MREL reforms, effective from January 2026, propose raising the threshold at which the rules apply, based on indexed nominal GDP growth.

With total assets of £30.3bn, MREL is currently punitive for OSB. Like larger banks, it is required to maintain a capital buffer, but its lack of a current account base means OSB cannot mitigate the effects on its cost of funding as effectively.

Because the MREL rules have been in place since 2015, it’s possible that the length of the indexation period might produce a suggested threshold closer to £40bn by 2026. If so, OSB could drop out of MREL, paving the way for additional shareholder returns as surplus capital is unlocked.

Deutsche Bank analyst Robert Noble believes that this could add up to 2 percentage points to OSB’s return on tangible equity (ROTE). 

OSB is currently seeking clarification on its MREL status from the Bank of England, but Noble remains bullish in any case, viewing the prospect of deregulation as merely bonus upside.

“OSB’s standalone business with regulatory headwinds is worthy of investment on its own,” he says.

While OSB awaits news on deregulation, the bank is pressing ahead with internal transformation.

Its medium-term aspirations identify FY2025 and FY2026 as the ‘transition’ period, before earnings kick up a gear from FY2027 onwards, when ultra-low interest rate loans written in 2021-22 should mature and roll off the book.

Management has been explicit in its guidance that while the gradual replacement of lower net interest margin (NIM) business takes place, the market should expect a low-teens ROTE for FY2025-26, before progressing to a mid-teens ROTE over the medium term. For 2026, some modest earnings per share progression is expected from last year on account of OSB’s ongoing share buybacks. 

OSB has spent the past three years pursuing a transformation programme to address the legacy issues that pushed it into profit warning territory in 2023.

Much of this is ‘catch-up’ expenditure after years of underinvesting in its platform. This vulnerability was exposed after the base rate hikes of 2022, when intense competition for deposits saw OSB pass on rates to savers far more quickly than it did to borrowers, rapidly increasing the bank’s cost of funding, and leading to a severe compression in NIM – the difference between what it earns on loans and pays out on deposits. 

Now, things look different. OSB has upgraded the systems infrastructure around its deposit base and loan book, and with more than four-fifths of OSB’s funding coming from retail deposits, the changes will enable quicker re-pricing of its assets, to realise the benefits of rates coming down and lower the cost of funding.

“Lower rates are better for companies such as OSB and Paragon Banking Group (PAG), because lower rates make mortgages more affordable and make the assets they are lending against more valuable,” according to Indriatti van Hien, a fund manager at Janus Henderson.

The system upgrades should also reduce decision time for approvals on BTL loans. This will increase lending volumes, as well as improving customer service and therefore retention rates. 

OSB is a company that is nearing an inflection point as its transformation comes to fruition, lower NIM business rolls off and the rates environment turns favourable. In addition, the possibility of deregulation combined with efforts to diversify into higher-yielding products should mean that there is serious upside on offer for long-term investors.

Management is committed to shareholder returns, evidenced through its ongoing buyback programme, as well as a target to grow the dividend per share by 5 per cent even in its ‘transition’ period.

“For us, the attraction of OSB is the all-in yield it provides through its share buyback and dividend yield, on top of a growing loan book,” says van Hien. At its current valuation, OSB’s 6 per cent dividend yield looks enticing relative to its low price/earnings ratio.

With the shares on an upward trajectory, the key to another re-rating for OSB will be its ability to string together a consistent set of earnings over the next few quarters, even as long-standing chief executive Andy Golding retires next year.

If it delivers, this should rebuild some of the confidence that was lost in 2023. All else being equal, we are in agreement with the FactSet analyst consensus – OSB looks like a worthy buy.

Company details Name Mkt Cap Price 52-Wk Hi/Lo
OSB  (OSB) £2.01bn 565p 588p / 356p
Size/Debt NAV per share Net Cash / Debt(-) Net Debt / Ebitda Op Cash/ Ebitda
624p -£2.84bn - -
Valuation Fwd PE (+12mths) Fwd DY (+12mths) FCF yld (+12mths) CAPE
7 6.40% - 9.5
Quality/Growth Ebit Margin ROCE 5yr Sales CAGR 5yr EPS CAGR
- - 31.10% 8.10%
Forecasts/ Momentum Fwd EPS grth NTM Fwd EPS grth STM 3-mth Mom 3-mth Fwd EPS change%
6% 8% 5.40% 6.30%
Year end 31 Dec Sales (£mn) Profit before tax (£mn) EPS (p) DPS (p)
2022 824 567 100 30.5
2023 708 426 75 32
2024 666 443 82.2 33.6
f’cst 2025 675 381 76.7 34.6
f’cst 2026 699 384 82.3 36.3
chg (%) 4 1 6 5
Source: FactSet, adjusted PTP and EPS figures. NTM = Next Twelve Months. STM = Second Twelve Months (ie one year from now)