Data, media and software stocks plunge on fresh wave of AI fears
Relx (REL) led a broader sell-off across professional data services, media and software stocks this week, slumping by almost a fifth after AI group Anthropic released a set of ‘agentic’ productivity tools for its Claude Cowork platform.
The company launched 11 open-source plug-in software tools late last week. Among them was a legal workflow tool designed to automate contract reviews, compliance checks and legal research, tasks Relx charges pricey subscription fees for through its legal information and analytics platform, LexisNexis.
But Relx wasn’t the only victim. The market sold off almost every company that relies on selling specialised professional data on fears that increasingly capable general purpose AI ‘agents’ could start doing much of the same work at a fraction of the cost, eroding pricing power across the sector.
The group’s main US rival, Thomson Reuters (US:TRI), fell nearly 16 per cent in the three days to Wednesday and European peer Wolters Kluwer (NL:WKL) dropped 13 per cent. London Stock Exchange Group (LSEG) slid 13 per cent, Pearson (PSON) lost 7 per cent and Experian (EXPN) was down 6.7 per cent.
Claude’s plug-ins also include tools for analysing financial data and building forecasting models, researching sales prospects, drafting marketing content, running enterprise search, handling customer support, assisting product management and even supporting biology research.
Advertising agencies were also hit hard. WPP (WPP) fell 16 per cent, Publicis (FR:PUB) slid 12 per cent and Omnicom (US:OMC) 13 per cent. London-listed software groups were dragged down too, with accounting software firm Sage (SGE) down 15 per cent.
Shares in fund manager Nick Train’s Finsbury Growth & Income (FGT) investment trust, which has suffered a prolonged stretch of poor performance, also fell 7 per cent this week. At the end of last year, the trust’s top 10 holdings included Relx, LSEG, Experian and Sage, which he sees as quality companies with defensive moats.
Glencore DRC sale raises likelihood of Rio Tinto deal
Glencore (GLEN) has agreed to sell around half of its stakes in two Democratic Republic of Congo (DR Congo) copper and cobalt mines to a consortium backed by the US government. The deal, for 40 per cent of the Mutanda and Kamoto assets, would bring in $2.7bn (£2bn) for Glencore, estimates Jefferies, given the $9bn combined enterprise value of the operations outlined in the memorandum of understanding.
The valuation of the deal is around five times forecast earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation (Ebitda) from the assets for 2026, according to Jefferies analyst Christopher LaFemina. This is well below the 10 times other copper miners trade at, but “could make Glencore a more attractive acquisition target for Rio”, he added, citing a reduction in “geopolitical risks”. The deadline for a firm agreement between Rio Tinto (RIO) and Glencore is Thursday at 5pm, although the miners can extend this to allow talks to continue.
The buyers are private equity house Orion Resource Partners, the US International Development Finance Corporation and Abu Dhabi sovereign wealth fund ADQ, operating as Orion Critical Mineral Consortium.
Glencore currently owns 95 per cent of Mutanda and 75 per cent of Kamoto. These operations produced 224,500 tonnes of copper in 2024, around a quarter of total output.
The major miners have often shied away from DR Congo given the political instability in the country and corruption risks. The US Department of Justice said in soss that Glencore had paid $27.5mn in bribes in DR Congo between 2007 and 2018, while the company also paid the government there $180mn in 2022 to cover “all present and future claims arising from any alleged acts of corruption” in those years.
“The timing of Glencore’s proposed partial selldown of its DRC copper assets subtly shifts negotiating leverage by pre-empting one of the hardest issues in any potential tie-up: valuation and geopolitical risk,” said Bloomberg Intelligence analyst Alon Olsha.
Under President Donald Trump’s administration, the US has shifted its focus from prosecuting bad actors to increasing its access to strategic minerals.
“This proposed transaction between Glencore and the US-backed Orion Critical Minerals Consortium reflects the core objectives of the US-DRC strategic partnership agreement by encouraging greater US investment in the DRC’s mining sector and promoting secure, reliable and mutually beneficial flows of critical minerals between our two countries,” said US deputy secretary of state Christopher Landau. AH
Beazley board backs £8bn takeover offer
FTSE 100 insurer Beazley (BEZ) has agreed in principle to the “key financial terms” of a fresh takeover approach from Zurich Insurance (CH:ZURN) after a string of failed buyout proposals.
The 1,335p-a-share approach values Beazley at £8bn, an improved offer from the 1,280p-a-share bid that was rejected last month.
The offer is for 1,310p per share in cash, on top of which Beazley would pay shareholders a 25p-a-share dividend before the completion of the deal. It is a 60 per cent premium to Beazley’s share price before Zurich made its interest public last month, and higher than a 1,315p-a-share offer Zurich made in June 2025.
Beazley’s board said it “would be minded to recommend” the approach to shareholders if Zurich makes a binding offer by the 16 February deadline under the takeover code.
“Zurich looks forward to commencing its confirmatory due diligence on Beazley and working with Beazley towards a binding offer announcement,” the Swiss insurer said.
Beazley’s shares rose 9 per cent in early trading to 1,258p. They are up 54 per cent since Zurich first disclosed its takeover advances with a £7.7bn offer on 19 January. Earlier this week, Zurich also this week disclosed a 1.5 per cent stake in the insurer.
The buyout interest comes after a rocky year for Beazley. Sentiment was knocked by cyber market competition (Beazley posted an 8 per cent year-on-year decline in cyber premiums in its third quarter), and an investor day at which management announced it had set aside $500mn (£365mn) of capital for a new Bermuda entity, which cut expectations for share buybacks.
Analysts at RBC Capital Markets estimated the offer values Beazley at 2.3 times price/tangible net asset value or 13.6 times forward price/earnings.
They noted that “these multiples are close to the highest that have been paid for a large Lloyd’s [of London] insurer”. The offer provides “an appropriate premium for Beazley shareholders, with the all-cash nature of the offer also an attractive element,” they added.
The new offer comes close to the 1,340p that Peel Hunt analyst Andreas Van Embden predicted would get the deal done, while Jefferies thinks Zurich could afford to go as high as 1,408p.
Beazley’s investor base is dominated by large institutions, with asset manager Wellington Management top of the tree with 9 per cent. CA
FitzWalter Capital ends long ATG pursuit
The long-running takeover saga at ATG Technology Group (ATG) has come to an end. After a dozen rejected approaches, FitzWalter Capital – the online auction platform’s biggest shareholder – has decided to walk away.
The distressed debt specialist told the board it does not intend to make a firm offer, drawing a line under months of back and forth.
The final straw appears to have been the board’s rejection of FitzWalter’s latest proposed bid of 400p a share, which valued ATG at £484mn, alongside its refusal to grant access to due diligence.
FitzWalter, which holds a stake of more than 20 per cent in the group, claimed ATG’s management has destroyed value through deals such as the purchase of furniture restorer Chairish last year. The board, for its part, described its shareholder’s approaches as “opportunistic” and suggested FitzWalter has not been serious in advancing its offers.
The market had already priced in failure. When FitzWalter hinted earlier last week that it would not raise or formalise its offer, the shares were trading around 300p. Still, confirmation sent the shares down another 8 per cent to 283p on Monday morning. VM
Plus500 rallies on prediction markets push
Shares in Plus500 (PLUS) climbed 10 per cent this week after the fintech group doubled down on its efforts to enter the growing US retail prediction markets sector with a new joint venture.
The FTSE 250 spread betting company said it will expand its trading offering through the launch of event-based contracts on its US trading platform, ‘Plus500 Futures’. The service will be run in collaboration with the Kalshi exchange, another US-based betting platform.
Prediction markets offer the chance for private and professional investors alike to express a view on real world events, and have grown in popularity in recent years.
Prediction markets gained prominence in the lead-up to the 2024 US presidential election, with users betting big on a Donald Trump return. Odds are expressed as a percentage likelihood of an event occurring. Current bets offered by Polymarket, the largest platform, include whether the US launches strikes on Iran or the date by which Kevin Warsh will be confirmed chair of the Federal Reserve.
The news comes after Plus500 was appointed as the clearing partner for FanDuel’s event-based contracts platform in December, marking the company’s first foray into the prediction markets space. EW