News

News round-up: 6 February 2026

The biggest investment stories of the past seven days

IC writers
IC writers

Data, media and software stocks plunge on fresh wave of AI fears

Relx (REL) led a broader sell-off across professional data services, media and software stocks this week, slumping by almost a fifth after AI group Anthropic released a set of ‘agentic’ productivity tools for its Claude Cowork platform.

The company launched 11 open-source plug-in software tools late last week. Among them was a legal workflow tool designed to automate contract reviews, compliance checks and legal research, tasks Relx charges pricey subscription fees for through its legal information and analytics platform, LexisNexis.

But Relx wasn’t the only victim. The market sold off almost every company that relies on selling specialised professional data on fears that increasingly capable general purpose AI ‘agents’ could start doing much of the same work at a fraction of the cost, eroding pricing power across the sector.

The group’s main US rival, Thomson Reuters (US:TRI), fell nearly 16 per cent in the three days to Wednesday and European peer Wolters Kluwer (NL:WKL) dropped 13 per cent. London Stock Exchange Group (LSEG) slid 13 per cent, Pearson (PSON) lost 7 per cent and Experian (EXPN) was down 6.7 per cent. 

Claude’s plug-ins also include tools for analysing financial data and building forecasting models, researching sales prospects, drafting marketing content, running enterprise search, handling customer support, assisting product management and even supporting biology research. 

Advertising agencies were also hit hard. WPP (WPP) fell 16 per cent, Publicis (FR:PUB) slid 12 per cent and Omnicom (US:OMC) 13 per cent. London-listed software groups were dragged down too, with accounting software firm Sage (SGE) down 15 per cent.

Shares in fund manager Nick Train’s Finsbury Growth & Income (FGT) investment trust, which has suffered a prolonged stretch of poor performance, also fell 7 per cent this week. At the end of last year, the trust’s top 10 holdings included Relx, LSEG, Experian and Sage, which he sees as quality companies with defensive moats. 


Glencore DRC sale raises likelihood of Rio Tinto deal

Glencore (GLEN) has agreed to sell around half of its stakes in two Democratic Republic of Congo (DR Congo) copper and cobalt mines to a consortium backed by the US government. The deal, for 40 per cent of the Mutanda and Kamoto assets, would bring in $2.7bn (£2bn) for Glencore, estimates Jefferies, given the $9bn combined enterprise value of the operations outlined in the memorandum of understanding. 

The valuation of the deal is around five times forecast earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation (Ebitda) from the assets for 2026, according to Jefferies analyst Christopher LaFemina. This is well below the 10 times other copper miners trade at, but “could make Glencore a more attractive acquisition target for Rio”, he added, citing a reduction in “geopolitical risks”. The deadline for a firm agreement between Rio Tinto (RIO) and Glencore is Thursday at 5pm, although the miners can extend this to allow talks to continue. 

The buyers are private equity house Orion Resource Partners, the US International Development Finance Corporation and Abu Dhabi sovereign wealth fund ADQ, operating as Orion Critical Mineral Consortium. 

Glencore currently owns 95 per cent of Mutanda and 75 per cent of Kamoto. These operations produced 224,500 tonnes of copper in 2024, around a quarter of total output.

The major miners have often shied away from DR Congo given the political instability in the country and corruption risks. The US Department of Justice said in soss that Glencore had paid $27.5mn in bribes in DR Congo between 2007 and 2018, while the company also paid the government there $180mn in 2022 to cover “all present and future claims arising from any alleged acts of corruption” in those years. 

“The timing of Glencore’s proposed partial selldown of its DRC copper assets subtly shifts negotiating leverage by pre-empting one of the hardest issues in any potential tie-up: valuation and geopolitical risk,” said Bloomberg Intelligence analyst Alon Olsha. 

Under President Donald Trump’s administration, the US has shifted its focus from prosecuting bad actors to increasing its access to strategic minerals. 

“This proposed transaction between Glencore and the US-backed Orion Critical Minerals Consortium reflects the core objectives of the US-DRC strategic partnership agreement by encouraging greater US investment in the DRC’s mining sector and promoting secure, reliable and mutually beneficial flows of critical minerals between our two countries,” said US deputy secretary of state Christopher Landau. AH


Beazley board backs £8bn takeover offer

FTSE 100 insurer Beazley (BEZ) has agreed in principle to the “key financial terms” of a fresh takeover approach from Zurich Insurance (CH:ZURN) after a string of failed buyout proposals.

The 1,335p-a-share approach values Beazley at £8bn, an improved offer from the 1,280p-a-share bid that was rejected last month.

The offer is for 1,310p per share in cash, on top of which Beazley would pay shareholders a 25p-a-share dividend before the completion of the deal. It is a 60 per cent premium to Beazley’s share price before Zurich made its interest public last month, and higher than a 1,315p-a-share offer Zurich made in June 2025.

Beazley’s board said it “would be minded to recommend” the approach to shareholders if Zurich makes a binding offer by the 16 February deadline under the takeover code.

“Zurich looks forward to commencing its confirmatory due diligence on Beazley and working with Beazley towards a binding offer announcement,” the Swiss insurer said.

Beazley’s shares rose 9 per cent in early trading to 1,258p. They are up 54 per cent since Zurich first disclosed its takeover advances with a £7.7bn offer on 19 January. Earlier this week, Zurich also this week disclosed a 1.5 per cent stake in the insurer.

The buyout interest comes after a rocky year for Beazley. Sentiment was knocked by cyber market competition (Beazley posted an 8 per cent year-on-year decline in cyber premiums in its third quarter), and an investor day at which management announced it had set aside $500mn (£365mn) of capital for a new Bermuda entity, which cut expectations for share buybacks.

Analysts at RBC Capital Markets estimated the offer values Beazley at 2.3 times price/tangible net asset value or 13.6 times forward price/earnings.

They noted that “these multiples are close to the highest that have been paid for a large Lloyd’s [of London] insurer”. The offer provides “an appropriate premium for Beazley shareholders, with the all-cash nature of the offer also an attractive element,” they added.

The new offer comes close to the 1,340p that Peel Hunt analyst Andreas Van Embden predicted would get the deal done, while Jefferies thinks Zurich could afford to go as high as 1,408p.

Beazley’s investor base is dominated by large institutions, with asset manager Wellington Management top of the tree with 9 per cent. CA


FitzWalter Capital ends long ATG pursuit

The long-running takeover saga at ATG Technology Group (ATG) has come to an end. After a dozen rejected approaches, FitzWalter Capital – the online auction platform’s biggest shareholder – has decided to walk away. 

The distressed debt specialist told the board it does not intend to make a firm offer, drawing a line under months of back and forth.

The final straw appears to have been the board’s rejection of FitzWalter’s latest proposed bid of 400p a share, which valued ATG at £484mn, alongside its refusal to grant access to due diligence.

FitzWalter, which holds a stake of more than 20 per cent in the group, claimed ATG’s management has destroyed value through deals such as the purchase of furniture restorer Chairish last year. The board, for its part, described its shareholder’s approaches as “opportunistic” and suggested FitzWalter has not been serious in advancing its offers. 

The market had already priced in failure. When FitzWalter hinted earlier last week that it would not raise or formalise its offer, the shares were trading around 300p. Still, confirmation sent the shares down another 8 per cent to 283p on Monday morning. VM


Plus500 rallies on prediction markets push

Shares in Plus500 (PLUS) climbed 10 per cent this week after the fintech group doubled down on its efforts to enter the growing US retail prediction markets sector with a new joint venture.

The FTSE 250 spread betting company said it will expand its trading offering through the launch of event-based contracts on its US trading platform, ‘Plus500 Futures’. The service will be run in collaboration with the Kalshi exchange, another US-based betting platform.

Prediction markets offer the chance for private and professional investors alike to express a view on real world events, and have grown in popularity in recent years.

Prediction markets gained prominence in the lead-up to the 2024 US presidential election, with users betting big on a Donald Trump return. Odds are expressed as a percentage likelihood of an event occurring. Current bets offered by Polymarket, the largest platform, include whether the US launches strikes on Iran or the date by which Kevin Warsh will be confirmed chair of the Federal Reserve.

The news comes after Plus500 was appointed as the clearing partner for FanDuel’s event-based contracts platform in December, marking the company’s first foray into the prediction markets space. EW

Companies

WH Smith & NCC: Big director share deals this week

Find out which directors are buying and selling shares in their own companies

Mark Robinson
Mark Robinson

WH Smith finance boss builds stake in a show of faith 

WH Smith’s (SMWH) chief financial officer, Max Izzard, recently bought £168,750-worth of company stock, increasing his personal stake in the embattled travel retailer by 25,000 shares. 

This follows the acquisition of a £128,000 stake in December, as Izzard, who joined WH Smith from Burberry in September 2024, builds his shareholding. 

And while the purchase signals a degree of confidence from management in WH Smith’s future as an exclusively travel-focused retailer, it could also be a case of opportunistic buying. 

The share price is grazing five-year lows after an accounting scandal rocked the company in August, triggering a steep decline that saw the stock shed almost half of its value. 

After Deloitte found that up to £50mn was wiped off its North American trading profits, the auditor’s investigation concluded that overstatements had been made since 2023, as a result of a “limited level of group oversight of the finance processes” in the region. 

The November finding prompted chief executive Carl Cowling to resign, although aside from a docked bonus in 2025, Izzard remains largely unaffected by the company’s attempts to claw back awards from its ex-directors. 

The Financial Conduct Authority is now assessing whether any inadvertent market manipulation occurred with regards to the share price. If so, the question of whether Izzard received too few shares upon joining WH Smith could be raised, taking into account the stock he forfeited after leaving Burberry. In any case, Izzard’s exposure to the company continues to grow, regardless of whether they are awarded or not. EW


NCC directors buy in after Escode divestment confirmed

The central question dogging global stock markets is whether companies are likely to see a commensurate return on their investments in AI. This particular deliberation will go a long way towards deciding whether multiples for the big tech companies are realistic or otherwise. One area within the tech realm where the value to businesses is not in question is cyber security, although it should be recognised that machine learning plays a part here as well. 

Following a strategic review, NCC Group (NCC), a Manchester-based provider of independent advice and services on cyber security, has been subject to press comment concerning the possible sale of its Escode software business unit to private equity, the possibility of which we outlined when we covered the group’s interim figures back in June 2025. It pans out that NCC has now agreed to sell the unit to TDR Capital for a total enterprise value of £275mn. 

We made the point that, although the group’s cyber security sales and related margin declined over the period, the technology’s long-term prospects warrant a more focused approach by NCC, even though it’s becoming an increasingly crowded space. 

Once completed, the divestment will leave NCC as a pure-play cyber security service. And it should result in a significant return of capital to shareholders – NCC announced a £70mn share buyback programme on 21 January. A week or so later, a trio of NCC directors, including group chair Chris Stone, demonstrated their faith in the group’s prospective pure-play status by collectively acquiring £214,571-worth of shares. MR

Buys        
Company Director/PDMR Date Price (p) Aggregate value (£)
Duke Capital Charlie Cannon Brookes (PDMR) 23-Jan 27 219,749
Helical Amanda Aldridge 27-Jan 195 23,395
Insig AI Richard Bernstein (ce) 23-26 Jan 18 24,170
Mercia Asset Management James Sly (fd) 23-Jan 26 20,000
NCC Chris Stone (ch) * 26-Jan 140.2 114,441
NCC Jennifer Duvalier 26-Jan 140 50,177
NCC Mike Ettling 26-Jan 137.2 49,953
Triad Group Charlotte Rigg 26-Jan 264.2 26,832
WH Smith Max Izzard (cfo) 29-Jan 675 168,750
Sells        
Company Director/PDMR Date Price (p) Aggregate value (£)
AO World Chris Hopkinson 23-Jan 107 749,000
JD Wetherspoon  Ben Whitley (fd) 26-Jan 679 47,061
Ninety One Malcolm Gray 14-Jan 200 63,941
*All or part of deal conducted by spouse / family / close associate.
Economics

Europe’s upsides and downsides: Economic week ahead – 9-13 February

The ECB is tipped to stay on the sidelines for much of 2026

Dan Jones
Dan Jones

The European Central Bank (ECB), like the Bank of England, is expected to keep rates on hold when it meets this Thursday. Fourth-quarter GDP data, released next Friday, emphasises its dilemma.

Last week’s initial estimate revealed slightly stronger than expected growth (driven in part by a healthier German manufacturing sector), a trend that’s likely to be confirmed in Friday’s data. That would seem to bolster the ECB’s decision to have paused rate cuts since June 2025. But the euro’s appreciation against the US dollar, as well as the risk of delayed impacts from US tariffs, creates downside risk. Economists’ base case is that the central bank will extend its pause through most or even all of 2026.


Monday 9 February

Eurozone: Sentix investor confidence

Japan: Current account, M2 money supply, trade balance


Tuesday 10 February

UK: BRC retail sales

US: Imports/exports, retail sales


Wednesday 11 February

China: CPI inflation, PPI inflation

Japan: Machine tool orders

US: CPI inflation


Thursday 12 February

Japan: Producer price index

UK: Index of services, industrial production, Q4 GDP (preliminary), Rics house price survey, trade balance


Friday 13 February

China: M2 money supply

Eurozone: Employment (preliminary), Q4 GDP (preliminary), trade balance

Companies

BP & AstraZeneca: Stock market week ahead – 9-13 February

A summary of key company announcements expected in the coming week

Mark Robinson
Mark Robinson

Monday 9 February

Finals: Plus500 (PLUS), Porvair (PRV), Wynnstay (WYN) 

Companies paying dividends: Netcall (0.94p)


Tuesday 10 February    

Trading updates: Bellway (BWY) 

Interims: Dunelm (DNLM) 

Finals: AstraZeneca (AZN), Barclays (BARC), BP (BP.), Coca-Cola HBC AG (CCH) 

AGMs: Northamber (NAR) 

Companies paying dividends: Sage (14.4p), TBC Bank (48.2692p)


Wednesday 11 February  

Trading updates: Severn Trent (SVT) 

Interims: Barratt Redrow (BTRW), MJ Gleeson (GLE), PZ Cussons (PZC), Renishaw (RSW) 

AGMs: Fevara (FVA), RWS Holdings (RWS) 

Companies paying dividends: BT (2.45p), Future (17p)


Thursday 12 February

Economics: Rics housing market survey, balance of trade, Q4 GDP (preliminary), index of services, industrial production, manufacturing production, unemployment rate 

Interims: Ashmore (ASHM) 

Finals: British American Tobacco (BATS), Nexus Infrastructure (NEXS), Relx (REL), Schroders (SDR), Unilever (ULVR) 

AGMs: Anglesey Mining (AYM), easyJet (EZJ), GCP Infrastructure Investments (GCP), Vast Resources (VAST) 

Companies paying dividends: JPMorgan Japanese Investment Trust (8.7p), Tracsis (1.4p), WH Smith (6p)


Friday 13 February  

Finals: NatWest (NWG) 

AGMs: Agronomics (ANIC) 

Companies paying dividends: FIH (1.25p), Invesco Global Equity Income Trust (3.375p), Jet2 (4.5p), JPMorgan Emerging Markets Growth & Income (1.261p), Schroder Oriental Income Fund (2p), Solid State (0.92p), Baillie Gifford European Growth Trust (0.72p), Hargreave Hale Aim VCT (3p), Premier Miton (3p), Unicorn Aim VCT (3.5p), Thor Explorations (C$0.0275)

Companies going ex-dividend on 12 February
Company  Dividend Date
Renew Holdings 13.33p 20-Mar
Heath (Samuel) & Sons 4.5p 20-Mar
Oxford Metrics 3.25p 27-Mar
Knights Group 1.94p 13-Mar
Ramsdens Holdings 11p 20-Mar
Murray Income Trust 9.5p 12-Mar
International Public Partnerships 2.15p 16-Mar
Pershing Square Holdings $0.1837 20-Mar
BlackRock Income & growth 5p 20-Mar
Rank 1p 13-Mar
Majedie Investments 2.3p 06-Mar
Greencoat UK Wind 2.59p 27-Feb
Franklin Global Trust 0.45p 27-Feb
JPMorgan Emerging EMEA Securities 0.6p 20-Mar
ICG Enterprise Trust 9p 27-Feb
FINANCIAL PLANNING AND EDUCATION

‘I’m moving to New York – can I still invest and buy my first home?’

Portfolio Clinic: Our reader is moving abroad but needs help investing an inheritance. Taha Lokhandwala takes a look

Taha Lokhandwala
Taha Lokhandwala

Emigrating is an exciting move and brings with it many opportunities to expand your horizons (and often your bank balance), but it also brings tax complications that must be overcome. Daisy is now facing such issues, and is in a race to get them sorted out before she starts the next chapter of her career.

At 32, Daisy is transferring to New York with her current employer and has a rough plan to stay in the American megalopolis for around five years, although she is open to staying longer should life lead her that way. At home in the UK, Daisy had been diligently saving towards buying her first property, a project that will be boosted later this month when she receives a £75,000 inheritance. While timely to help out with the move, the cash also leaves her with a quandary over what to do next.

She also has around £15,000 saved into an Isa with Moneybox and around £5,000 in Premium Bonds, and wants to take £15,000 cash savings with her to New York. The remainder she is willing to leave behind in Blighty, invest it and hopefully put it towards a home when the time comes. This will most likely be in the UK, but potentially in New York.

She says: “I have a five-year visa and I am undecided if I will stay longer or not, but I am open to moving there long term. My main concern is my stocks-and-shares Isa. I want to know if I can leave my Isa as it is, and if I am able to continue adding any money to it. I will keep a UK bank account to pay things like my student loan and my UK phone bill, so I can add to my Isa from there.

“I imagine I would want to use my inheritance to buy a property in the next 10 years, but I don’t know how likely or soon that will be. How can I best invest this to grow it as much as possible in that time while I am in the US? I don’t know how soon I will want to do this, particularly if I decide to stay in New York longer.”

“I have a stocks-and-shares Isa with Moneybox but I am considering moving this to a different platform and changing how it’s invested before I leave,” she adds.

Daisy’s plan to use an Isa while abroad is the first major complication and one that will require professional tax advice. The US does not recognise the tax-free shelter rules of the Isa, so any gains and income must be declared on Daisy’s US tax return. Also, as she will no longer be a UK taxpayer, Daisy cannot contribute to the Isa once she leaves the UK. However, she has only saved £1,200 this tax year, so she has £18,800 she can add before she plans to move in March.

Have your portfolio reviewed by experts

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If not, head to the Portfolio Clinic. You can have your portfolio analysed by experts who will provide ideas and recommendations to help you.

Email us at portfolio.clinic@ft.com to find out more. To read examples, click here.

This is a free service and all submissions are welcome, whether you are starting or have amassed millions. We don’t reveal your name so your anonymity is guaranteed.

NONE OF THE COMMENTARY BELOW SHOULD BE REGARDED AS ADVICE. IT IS GENERAL INFORMATION BASED ON A SNAPSHOT OF THESE INVESTORS’ CIRCUMSTANCES

So you are inheriting some money imminently and then disappearing off to the US to work for five years. As you won’t be a UK tax resident, you won’t be able to use your annual Isa allowance after you go, and are likely to have to notify US tax authorities about any gains and losses, so specific tax advice here is a must.

You could also top up your pension, but of course, once the money goes there it cannot be used to buy a house. You could also consider using a Lifetime Isa for some of the money, although I believe the government is doing its damnedest to ruin the best part of it. So it might be worth waiting to see what happens next.

As you are likely to be leaving before 5 April, which is unfortunate, bear in mind that if your plans do become delayed, you should consider taking advantage of the new annual Isa allowance.

As for moving from Moneybox, you will need to do this to access a wider range of funds, and certainly the funds I recommend below. However, it’s worth checking before you transfer whether there will be any issue with you moving to the US – I know platforms sometimes become nervous about US citizens/residents, so check before you transfer or invest the inheritance. I would consider Hargreaves Lansdown, Interactive Investor and AJ Bell. The former has just reduced its fees, and given that you won’t be adding to the Isa, you don’t need to worry too much about trading costs, which can end up being the biggest differentiator between the major platforms.

To the easy part: you will have £80,000 once the inheritance is added to the existing Isa and Premium Bonds, minus the £15,000 fund you’re taking with you to New York. And, as it’s for a minimum of five years, or maybe longer, you can invest this properly.

I’d start with a blank sheet of paper. With £80,000, I’d have six to 10 funds – no need to overdiversify.

Even though you don’t need this for at least five years, I’m not going totally risk on – you have a specific purpose in mind for the money. Regular readers of these pages will recognise most of the funds and trusts I’ve included, as I tend to stick to many of the same ones.

I will highlight Murray Income Trust (MUT), though. It is currently managed by Aberdeen, but is about to transfer management to Adrian Frost and the team at Artemis – arguably the current big daddy of the equity income world. It’s a core old-fashioned equity income trust. The overall portfolio is mainly familiar names with a few higher-risk specialist holdings around the edges.

Normally, for someone of your age investing for the long term, an adventurous portfolio comprised mainly of shares would be the order of the day. However, there is quite a lot of uncertainty in your plans at the moment, and you may need to access the money in the next 10 years to fund a property purchase, so a slightly different strategy is probably in order.

First of all, you need to build up that rainy-day fund to hit your £15,000 cash target from your existing funds. Whether that comes from your Premium Bonds, Isa or inheritance should depend on how each of these is dealt with by US tax authorities.

Once you are no longer resident in the UK, you’ll no longer be able to contribute to an Isa, and many Isa providers won’t let you even open an account for transfers, because the rules around allowing overseas individuals to do so are complex and restrictive. So if you’re going to transfer from Moneybox to a new provider, it’s best to push that through before you leave.

That’s if you’re going to keep the Isa at all, as there may be US tax implications from doing so. I’d suggest seeking advice from a specialist in UK to US relocations who can help guide you as to the most tax-efficient way to arrange your affairs in light of US tax law. It may be that this has a bearing on your cash and investment strategy.

Paying heed to whatever tax structure is suggested, the investments you choose ideally need to reflect the fact that you want some growth, but also may need access to the money within the next 10 years. You could simply hold everything in cash if you wanted to minimise the risk of sustaining losses from the stock market. But that would open you up to inflation risk, and you would also be likely to experience less growth over the longer term. So you may want to consider an approach that better balances risk and reward.

For this purpose, a multi-asset fund is worth considering. These invest partly in shares and partly in bonds and cash to provide diversification and reduce volatility. Some also invest in property, gold, infrastructure and other assets for even greater diversification. These funds come in a range of risk profiles, so you can pick one that suits your own timeframe and tolerance for risk.

Of course, as ever, there is a trade-off between risk and reward. The less risk you take, the lower the return you can expect over the long term, but also the smaller the chance of sustaining losses along the way. For someone on the cusp of an exciting career move, but with a fair amount of uncertainty about medium-term financial plans, a multi-asset fund might hit the spot, but picking the right one for you will require some judgment on precisely how much risk to take.

The Alpha asset allocation model

James Norrington, Chartered FCSI and associate editor, has created four asset allocation strategies for Investors’ Chronicle Alpha and portfolio clinic case studies.

We’ve also applied a tactical asset allocation (TAA) framework to help investors position themselves for current market conditions. Daisy has been recommended an ‘adventurous’ portfolio.

James says: “Our adventurous strategy has you 73 per cent invested in shares, the best asset class for beating inflation over time. You’ll have plenty of exposure to the US market through the MSCI World holding, but our tilts to other regions (Europe, Emerging markets and the UK) diversify the specific risk of high US tech valuations. For the bonds allocation, our focus on the UK is tactical. It is appropriate if you’re leaving money in the UK, but if your money follows you to America then there are better dollar-risk hedges available.

“For February 2026 we retain our strategic gold exposure at 5 per cent. Despite recent volatility, the value of the yellow metal as a hedge to geopolitical and dollar debasement risk means we will be reviewing whether to up that limit (albeit not drastically) in future.”

Funds

Ten funds beating the FTSE this year

The past 12 months were all about value stocks. We look at the managers getting ahead of the market

Val Cipriani
Val Cipriani

After a long malaise, it’s been a buoyant period for UK stocks, with the FTSE All-Share index returning 22.5 per cent in the 12 months to 28 January. One might have assumed such a strong result would be hard to beat for fund managers, but in fact a decent number of active funds comfortably outpaced the index.

The table below lists the 10 best performing funds over the period, spanning the UK All Companies and UK Equity Income sectors across both funds and investment trusts (using Investment Association sectors for the first and Association of Investment Companies sectors for the second; there are 302 funds in total across the four sectors). This is a short timeframe, but it is interesting to see which strategies have worked well in the current market.

The 10 best performing funds this year
Fund 1-yr 3-yr 5-yr 10-yr
FTSE All Share 22.5 43.6 77 142
Temple Bar (TMPL) 43.8 77.5 150.4 185
Artemis SmartGARP UK Equity (GB0006795529) 42.1 79.3 161.5 250.8
Fidelity Special Values (FSV) 41.4 67.1 108.1 202.5
Aberdeen Equity Income (AEI) 38.3 49.2 91 75.6
Dimensional UK Value (GB0033771766) 36.3 63.6 127.6 192.9
Lowland (LWI) 36 58.2 92.2 121.4
Shires Income (SHRS) 35.9 45.3 75.3 173.6
SVS Zeus Dynamic Opportunities (GB00BQFNHK41) 35.7 70.6 -- --
iShares UK Dividend ETF (IUKD) 33 52.3 94.8 103.2
City of London (CTY) 31.7 46.6 91.3 133.4
Source: FE. Sterling total returns as at 28 January

Six out of the 10 funds in the list are investment trusts. While stockpicking will have been a crucial driver of outperformance, gearing is likely to have helped too – trusts have the ability to borrow to invest, which can give them a real boost in rising markets (and exacerbate losses during downturns). The trusts in the table all deploy gearing to various degrees, with Shires Income (SHRS) currently the most geared at 14 per cent of the portfolio.

Some of these trusts also saw their discounts narrow meaningfully in the past year, as net asset value (NAV) performance helped stimulate demand – as at the end of 2024, Fidelity Special Values (FSV) was trading on an 8 per cent discount to NAV, Temple Bar (TMPL) on 6.6 per cent and Lowland (LWI) on 11.7 per cent. Fast forward to 29 January this year, and the first two are trading at around NAV, while Lowland is on a 6.5 per cent discount.

The list also includes one exchange traded fund (ETF), the iShares UK Dividend ETF (IUKD). Not all ETFs are included in the Investment Association sectors, so including any in our table is arguably a little partial. We have kept this one in because it is not just a broad market ETF – instead it tracks “the top 50 stocks by one-year forecast dividend yield”, with weightings determined by yield levels rather than market capitalisation. Its presence in the list also indicates that the top dividend-paying stocks delivered some of the best total returns over the past year.

In a nutshell, success has been all about having a value strategy. “Anything with banks/financials and energy has done well. These two sectors have been throwing off cash and using it for buybacks and dividends,” says Ben Yearsley, investment director at Fairview Investing. “Other areas – small and mid-cap stocks, for example – have been left behind.”

The chart below shows how almost all of this year’s top-performing funds have overweight positions to the financial sector. NatWest (NWG), HSBC (HSBA), Barclays (BARC) and Lloyds (LLOY) are all popular choices among these managers, and in the year to 29 January these stocks returned 58 per cent, 61 per cent, 66 per cent and 77 per cent, respectively.

The picture within the energy sector is a little more nuanced, as Shell (SHEL) and BP (BP.) saw more modest returns over the year (18.6 per cent and 13.4 per cent, respectively).

Aberdeen Equity Income (AEI) had the highest exposure to the sector at 12.4 per cent as at year-end, and its biggest holding was miner Rio Tinto (RIO), which returned 50 per cent. More than half of the trust is invested in energy and financials.

The trust is in the process of merging with Shires Income, subject to shareholder approval. Both are run by Aberdeen, but Shires invests around a fifth of its portfolio in fixed income; some exposure to the asset class will be maintained after the merger.

Dimensional UK Value (GB0033771766), which uses a rules-based approach that means it is arguably both an active and a passive fund, also has significant exposure to the energy sector. That includes a (relatively uncommon) overweight position in Shell, which was its second-largest holding as at the end of November. The fund is pretty concentrated, with 47 per cent of its portfolio in its top 10.

Will the dominance of energy and financials continue into this year? “That cash generation isn’t going away, but it’s difficult to put a case for, say, Lloyds or NatWest doubling this year. So the easy money has been made,” says Yearsley. “Having said that, with a good dividend yield and copious share buybacks, I’m still positive on the outlook [for these sectors].”

SVS Zeus Dynamic Opportunities (GB00BQFNHK41) is the only fund in the list with a fairly low exposure to both financials and energy. The fund only launched in January 2023 and is sub-scale, with around £21mn in assets, but has certainly delivered the goods in these three years. The strategy involves combining quality growth stocks to hold for the long term with “nearer field tactical value elements”, as the factsheet puts it.

The fund has some exposure to small caps and may be benefiting from shrewd stockpicking there – it had a 4 per cent position in Filtronic (FTC) as at the end of the year, a satellite firm whose share price has almost doubled in the past 12 months. It is also the only fund on the list to have Rolls-Royce (RR.) among its top 10 holdings, which would have been very lucrative in the past year. The other funds in the table don’t have a huge exposure to defence stocks, although City of London (CTY) does feature BAE Systems (BA.) in its top 10, at 3.4 per cent of the portfolio as at the end of December. In the year to 29 January, Rolls-Royce returned 108 per cent, while BAE returned 68 per cent.

Overall, the table is a mix of funds that are having an unusually good year, and those that have consistently been delivering over the past decade. In the latter group are Artemis SmartGARP UK Equity (GB0006795529), Fidelity Special Values, Dimensional UK Value and Temple Bar, respectively the second, fourth, fifth and eighth-best performing funds across all four sectors over a 10-year period. The Artemis fund was also the best performer in the past five years, followed by Temple Bar.

Artemis’ ‘growth at a reasonable price’ screen has been delivering very strong performance across various geographies, as we have written before. Both Temple Bar and Fidelity Special Values follow a value approach, but the second is more explicitly contrarian and has some exposure to small caps. It’s also worth noting that both also have exposure to global stocks, particularly Temple Bar at about a quarter of the portfolio.

Companies

Can stocks benefit as the world inflates away its debt?

Gold becoming the go-to reserve asset and the US happy with a weaker dollar leaves the door open for shares to rise

Mark Robinson
Mark Robinson

On Monday, the headlines ran: “Stocks, gold and oil plunge in market rout”. Nothing sells like apocalypticism, but the market fervour is to be expected given that both shares and precious metals have been trading at, or near, all-time highs.

The price levers guiding the oil price, though no less complex, are probably easier to understand, but best ignored for our purposes here. At any rate, precious metals analysts appear to have taken the view that the sharp drop in the gold price doesn’t alter the long‑term case for the metal, and may simply reflect liquidity issues and unsettled trades in the market.

From a historical perspective, the correlation between gold and the stock market is close to zero, meaning that they often move independently – ‘often’ but not always. If stock markets are in turmoil, then investors have been known to pile into gold as it acts as a safe haven. Even so, it usually also displays an inverse correlation with that other great haven, the US dollar.

The greenback has lost ground against a range of frequently traded foreign currencies since this time last year. Closer to home, its average monthly value is down by around 10 per cent against sterling. That’s certainly unfortunate for UK-based investors who have come to rely on dollar-denominated distributions. No doubt it’s a point that hasn’t been lost on our readers.

We could enumerate the specific reasons that dollar depreciation has taken hold – tariffs, Greenland, a more accommodative Federal Reserve monetary stance, etc – but it may well be welcomed by the Trump administration given the drive to repatriate manufacturing back to the US. And despite all the negative sentiment, it’s worth remembering that the dollar still accounts for around half of international loans and global payments, along with three-fifths of global foreign exchange reserves. International debt markets also remain in thrall to the currency.

That said, it’s certainly the case that gold has taken a more prominent position within global sovereign asset reserves at the expense of the dollar. The pivot to ‘hard assets’ has been particularly noticeable in relation to the Brics economies, and various moves are afoot to develop viable alternative payment systems for global commodities.

You can go back and forth endlessly looking at asset price volatility. But it’s conceivable that what is happening in the gold and currency markets could inform a long-term view of equities on either side of the Atlantic. It could be that the flows into precious metals might point to a tipping point in attitudes toward the rickety fiat status of the dollar, driven by rising concerns over US fiscal deficits. Naturally, this also applies to the UK, and even to the European Union economies, which closed out 2025 with an aggregate gross debt-to-GDP ratio of 82 per cent.

As they hold no intrinsic value, fiat currencies rely on trust, but the unbridled accumulation of debt, particularly in the absence of commensurate economic growth, puts this trust at risk. And we may have already crossed the Rubicon on this score.

To address the debt issue and shore up faith in their domestic currencies, governments can either increase their tax revenues or take an axe to public expenditure. Experience shows us that western governments are rather more keen on the former course of action than the latter. But the Laffer curve suggests this is self-defeating beyond a certain level.

The other option is for governments to simply inflate away the debt. To achieve this, they need to keep real interest rates in negative territory, a situation whereby inflation exceeds nominal interest rates. Without edging into the realm of the conspiracy theorist, it has always seemed peculiar that the consumer price index seems to perennially understate the actual inflation rate.

Any such inflationary scenario should theoretically benefit growth stocks, real estate investment trusts (Reits) and small caps – not to mention the gold miners. Companies with solid dividend credentials also stand to benefit as investors cast around for alternatives to lower-yielding fixed-income assets. It would encourage borrowing, ease financing costs and boost asset prices, as was the market backdrop during QE.

Whether any of this will influence your portfolio allocations is somewhat doubtful, but some critics of fiat currencies maintain that they are invariably on a long-term journey towards zero purchasing power. Were that to be the case, history teaches us that shares as well as real assets stand to benefit.

Feature

A savvy disposal is transforming this manufacturer

Bargain Shares 2026: It banked a huge profit from selling an Australian subsidiary and cash returns to investors are likely

Simon Thompson
  • Disposal of Australian subsidiary wiped out all borrowings

  • Ongoing operations valued on 3.9 times cash profit to enterprise valuation

  • Potential bid target

Isle of Man-based Strix (KETL), a maker and designer of kettle safety controls and components for water heating and filtration products, has transformed its balance sheet and is a much lower-risk equity proposition following the disposal (30 January 2026) of Australian subsidiary Billi.

The group acquired Melbourne-based brand Billi, a maker of premium filtered and temperature-controlled water systems, for £38.9mn – funded through a £13mn placing at 115p and borrowings – in a bargain purchase in November 2022. On a pro forma basis, Billi generated revenue of £38.8mn and net profit of £5.6mn in 2022, so the transaction was priced on a bargain basement seven times post-tax profit and only 3.8 times cash profit.

Aim: Share price: 46.1p

Bid-offer spread: 46-46.25p

Market value: £106mn

Strix was able to acquire the business for such an attractive price because the vendor was in effect a forced seller; the sale of the business was a regulatory condition of the merger of its owners, Cullen and Waterlogic. There were other bidders at significantly higher valuations – Strix had entered talks at a cash profit multiple of 11 times – but having entered an exclusivity agreement and made material progress with regulators in Australasia and the UK, Strix was in pole position to do a deal.

The fact that Strix was able to sell the business for £105mn also reflects the value added under its ownership. Billi is expected to report revenue of £47mn and cash profit of £10mn in 2025. It has been acquired by Crescent Capital Partners, a Sydney-based private equity and alternative asset management firm founded in 2000.

Strix financial forecasts
Year end 31 Dec Revenue Adjusted ebitda Adjusted operating profit Adjusted pre-tax profit Adjusted earnings per share Net cash Price/ earnings ratio Enterprise valuation / operating profit ratio
2022 £106.9mn £32.1mn £25.9mn £22.2mn 10.8p -£91.3mn 4.3 7.6
2023 £143.8mn £39.7mn £32.5mn £22.3mn 9.2p -£90.5mn 5.0 6.0
2024 £144.0mn £35.4mn £27.5mn £18.5mn 6.7p -£68.6mn 6.9 6.3
2026E £154.1mn £31.3mn £21.0mn £12.3mn 4.5p £35.1mn 10.2 3.3
2027E £95.2mn £17.9mn £9.5mn £9mn 3.3p £35.8mn 13.9 7.4
2028E £96.2mn £18.3mn £9.9mn £9.4mn 3.4p £40.2mn 13.5 6.7
Source: Zeus Capital (2 February 2026). Please note financial year-end has changed from 31 December to 31 March, hence the absence of 2025 figures from the table, and the next annual results will be for the 15-month period to 31 March 2026, followed by 12 month results to 31 March 2027. Adjusted operating profit, adjusted pre-tax profit and earnings per share figures for 2023 and 2024 financial years are from Zeus Capital.

The bumper cash proceeds from the disposal were much-needed to pay down borrowings as the group’s finances had become overstretched. Net debt of £68mn represented a leverage ratio of 2.2 times and the progressive dividend policy adopted at the time of the IPO (the shares listed at 100p in April 2017) had been axed due to the need to service finance costs and reduce borrowings.

This was made more difficult by the challenging trading conditions the group has faced in recent years, including the Covid-19 shutdowns in China (which severely impacted two of the manufacturers that Strix supplies); the withdrawal from Russia of Strix’s key global brand; a cost of living crisis; and more recently political and economic uncertainty in key regulated markets (the UK and US) that tempered consumer spending and delayed orders in its controls business. Conversely, low-cost controls are gaining traction in less regulated markets, validating investment in this space while also broadening the group’s addressable market.

A trading update in late November 2025 suggests that the group may be tentatively turning a corner. Following discussions with key customers and partners at the Canton Fair, early indications of improvement started to emerge in the final quarter of 2025 despite activity levels in South Africa, Turkey and US markets remaining slower than expected. Management expects the positive trend to continue to build in the first quarter of 2026, albeit that guidance was before the US briefly threatened renewed tariffs on its EU trading partners, which adds macroeconomic risk.

That issue aside, Strix is making the right moves to build and protect its controls business, having recently launched next-generation controls at a lower price point. These solutions enable the group to expand into additional market segments, defend market share against copyist manufacturers and increase its overall addressable market.

Following the disposal, management will focus on expanding controls’ addressable market beyond kettles, as well as growing share in the consumer and original equipment manufacturer (OEM) markets for its filtration product range. Accelerating development of new heating and safety control technologies and applications for existing OEM and brand customers is another key objective.

It’s worth noting, too, that following a restructuring last year, the group’s consumer goods division has returned to growth. Product manufacture in China is being rolled out for its leading global baby brand customer, and additional products have been launched. Although the small domestic appliance market is experiencing high levels of volatility, operational and product innovation initiatives are strengthening the competitive position of this side of the business to support ongoing sustainable growth.

Importantly, with net cash proceeds of £105mn from the disposal of Billi wiping out group net debt of £71mn, Strix is no longer saddled with unmanageable debts. It means that management can focus on growing the retained operations, which analysts at Zeus Capital estimate are generating £20mn of Ebitda annually. In effect, these operations are in the price for only £67mn, given that £35.1mn (15.3p) of Strix’s current market capitalisation of £106mn (48.5p) is now backed by cash at the 31 March 2026 year-end. It implies the retained operations are being valued at 3.9 times earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation (Ebitda) estimates for 2026-27 financial year. That’s an incredibly low multiple for a group that no longer has a constrained balance sheet and has cash funding available to invest in its patented products.

The board acknowledges that the shares are too lowly rated and has earmarked £10mn of the cash proceeds from the disposal to make earnings-per-share-accretive buybacks. The directors are also in active discussions with shareholders regarding ways to efficiently return further capital and will update the market at the time of the group’s next annual results.

Please note that Strix is changing its year-end from 31 December to 31 March, so the next results will be for the 15-month period to 31 March 2026. Forecasts in our table are based on ongoing operations, so they exclude the contribution from Billi for both the 2026 financial year and in future years. 

It’s worth noting, too, that chief executive Mark Bartlett will step down by mutual agreement from 29 May 2026. He joined Strix in 2006 and has served as chief executive since 2015. The board has initiated the process to recruit a new chief executive, which is being led by chair Gary Lamb.

So, with the shares trading 12 per cent below book value (adjusted for the Billi disposal), cash returns likely and the shares trading on a bargain basement rating, there is scope for a decent re-rating. There is also potential for Strix to become a bid target. Buy.

Feature

Back this healthcare stock’s grand M&A plan

Bargain Shares 2026: A strategic review means management is shedding low-margin brands and finding lucrative bolt-on acquisitions

Simon Thompson
  • Net cash equates to 41 per cent of market capitalisation

  • Enterprise valuation only 5.6 times cash profit for 2026-27 financial year

  • Bolt-on acquisitions to drive earnings upgrades

  • 50 per cent share price upside to fair valuation

Aim-traded Venture Life (VLG), a developer of self-care products in the consumer healthcare market, sold off its lower-margin, capital-intensive operations last summer and is transitioning into a pure-play consumer healthcare platform focused on products that support proactive, healthy living.

The divested businesses generated cash profit of £4.9mn and pre-tax profit of £0.3mn from revenue of £20.5mn in the 2024 financial year, so the €62mn (£53mn) cash consideration received equated to a reasonable cash profit multiple of 11 times.

The cash proceeds wiped out all borrowings and are enabling Venture Life to direct cash flow into the commercialisation, growth and development of its higher-margin core ‘power brands’ (Balance Activ, Health & Her/Him, Lift, Earol, Pomi-T and Gelclair) as well as providing firepower to make more bolt-on acquisitions to scale the business.

Aim: Share price: 67.5p

Bid-offer spread: 67-68p

Market value: £84.6mn

At the end of 2025, the group also completed the disposal of its oral care brands Ultradex and Dentyl, which sat outside its strategic focus and diluted overall margins. Venture Life received cash proceeds of £3.75mn on completion and could receive a further payment of £0.75mn, dependent on the performance of the brands in the first year under new ownership. If the full £4.5mn is received, the exit price will represent 13 times the two brands’ annual cash profit in the 2024 financial year.

After accounting for £2mn spent on an ongoing share buyback programme, the group now holds net cash of £34.4mn, representing 41 per cent of its market capitalisation. Moreover, free cash flow is set to improve as profits rise – a factor that investors have yet to acknowledge in their valuation. Indeed, the group’s enterprise value equates to only nine times operating profit estimates for the 2026-27 financial year.

Venture Life financial forecasts
Year end 31 Dec Revenue Adjusted Ebitda Adjusted operating profit Adjusted pre-tax profit Adjusted earnings per share Net cash Price/ earnings ratio Enterprise value / operating profit ratio Free cash flow  Free cash flow yield
2023 £22.4mn £4.9mn £2.0mn £0.2mn 2.5p -£13.7mn 27.0 49.2 £2.7mn 3.2%
2024 £26.6mn £6.2mn £3.1mn £1.6mn 3.1p -£18.7mn 21.8 33.3 £4.3mn 5.1%
2026E £50.4mn £8.0mn £1.9mn £1.1mn 3.8p £37.4mn 17.8 24.8 £3.8mn 4.5%
2027E £42.6mn £8.9mn £4.6mn £4.6mn 5.2p £43.4mn 13.0 9.0 £6.0mn 7.1%
2028E £46.5mn £10.4mn £6.0mn £6.1mn 6.6p £51.1mn 10.2 5.6 £7.6mn 9.0%
Source: Cavendish (26 January 2026). Please note financial year-end has changed from 31 December to 31 May, hence the absence of 2025 figures from the table. The next annual results will be for the 17-month period to 31 May 2026, followed by 12-month results to 31 May 2027. Adjusted operating profit, adjusted pre-tax profit and earnings per share figures for 2023 and 2024 financial years are from Cavendish.

Moreover, house broker Cavendish anticipates that the group will be able to deliver double-digit growth in revenue, cash profit and operating profit in the following year as well as boosting net cash to more than £50mn (excluding acquisitions). On this basis, the group’s enterprise value could fall to 5.6 times operating profit estimates by 31 May 2028. There is a good chance that the recently beefed-up senior management team will hit the house broker’s estimates, too.

Having acquired women’s health brand Balance Activ in 2021, Venture Life increased its presence in this area by making the complementary acquisition of Cardiff-based Health & Her/Him (H&H) in November 2024. The H&H brand provides supplements and support for the female hormonal health journey. While menopause and perimenopause products constitute most of its revenue, H&H has extended its offering by launching new products in both female and male hormonal health. The H&H app is the world’s second-largest menopause app, highlighting how data-driven insights and integrated data capabilities can be used to drive growth in the group’s existing brands.

H&H sells a range of food supplements through retailers, pharmacies and online channels in six countries (UK, US, China and parts of the EU). The business was acquired for a maximum consideration of £10mn and has turned profitable under the group’s ownership. Leveraging H&H’s products across Venture Life’s extensive distribution network should enhance sales and deliver a significant increase in revenue and profitability. Management is also using H&H’s presence in Holland & Barrett (UK) and CVS (a key US retailer) to launch existing brands across their store networks.

Another key driver of revenue and profits is the strategic investment being made in marketing activities to raise awareness of the group’s other higher-margin power brands:

  • Balance Activ, the leading UK brand for the treatment of bacterial vaginosis

  • Lift, a range of glucose gels, shots and chewable tablets

  • Gelclair, a Murco-adhesive oral rinse gel used for painful symptoms of oral mucositis (a side-effect of some cancer therapies)

  • Pomi-T, a polyphenol mix of whole foods used for the management of prostate-specific antigen (PSA) levels in prostate cancer

  • Earol, an ear, nose and throat brand

This investment, combined with new product listings, a strong order book and the contribution from H&H, delivered 11 per cent pro forma revenue growth in 2025. Please note that the next results will be for the 17-month period to 31 May 2026 due to a change of year-end that should reduce the revenue seasonality.

Importantly, the board has strengthened the senior management team to drive the operational performance as well as adding experience to support the merger and acquisition (M&A) strategy.

Matt Jeffs has been appointed as head of M&A strategy. Jeffs has had a career in corporate finance with a regional boutique M&A adviser, where he advised on over £350mn of transactions, after which he was headhunted as an investment manager for the family office of an organic foods business.

Sensibly, Venture Life is tapping into the management experience of H&H’s team, having appointed co-founders Kate Bache and Gervase Fernandes as chief marketing and innovation officer and strategic growth director, respectively. In addition, Sarah Arthur has been appointed as interim commercial director. Arthur had a distinguished career with Johnson & Johnson before leaving to set up her own consultancy in health and beauty. She has been working with Venture Life since the start of 2025 to develop its strategic customer growth strategy.

The appointment of a chief digital and technology officer, Peter Jackson, is a sensible move as aligning IT strategy with business objectives and making full use of integrated digital and AI capabilities are key areas of the group’s growth plans.

Of course there is execution risk as the board will have to approach dealmaking wisely. However, any earnings-accretive bolt-on acquisitions should reduce earnings risk by diversifying revenue streams as well as providing upgrades to analysts’ earnings forecasts. That’s because current forecasts are based solely on the group’s existing operations and reflect the potential to enhance operating margins as the business scales. Acquisitions could materially enhance that process.

So, with the shares rated on modest forward price/earnings (PE) multiples of 13 (2027) and 10.2 (2028), and the group reporting robust revenue growth from its continuing operations, there should be decent upside to analysts’ fair valuations of 100p. Buy.

Feature

Profits could double at this rock-solid mining services stock

Bargain Shares 2026: The low share price ignores a strong balance sheet, good cash levels and a decent income

Simon Thompson

• 120 per cent forecast increase in pre-tax profit

• The shares trade on a forward PE ratio of 6.5 (pre-upgrades)

• Enterprise value only 1.8 times forecast operating profit

• Achievable sum-of-the-parts valuation is almost double current share price

Aim-traded Goldplat (GDP) is a mining services company specialising in the recovery of gold and other precious metals, from byproducts, contaminated soil and precious metal-bearing material from mining and other industries. The business plays a pivotal role in the circular economy that extends from the extraction of minerals to re‑processing of what would typically be dumped as waste materials. It also extends to responsible mining and business practices that underpin Goldplat as a sustainability partner for large miners. In fact, the entirety of its operating profit is derived from the processing of discards or waste materials from historic or current mining activities.

Aim: Share price: 11.75p

Bid-offer spread: 11.5-12p

Market value: £20.1mn

Goldplat has two operations in South Africa and Ghana focused on providing an economic method for mines to dispose of waste materials while at the same time adhering to their environmental obligations.

  • Goldplat Recovery (Pty) Limited SA is the South Africa business. It’s a profitable, mature gold recovery business with a strong blue-chip client base. The business processes byproducts of the mining process, including mill liners and wood chips to produce bullion.

  • Gold Recovery Ghana Limited is the Ghanaian arm. Goldplat’s junior gold recovery operation in Ghana benefits from its prime location in the West African gold belt. The facility there is looking to replicate the successful South African operation by building contracts with major producers in west Africa.

Goldplat has been providing these services for more than 20 years, mainly to the mining industry in Africa, but more recently in South America with supply from that region processed in Ghana. Supply remains strong, although most of the volume in South America remains linked to one client, so the focus has been on increasing the customer base and to offer local processing solutions. During the 2023-24 financial year, Goldplat acquired land in South America and has invested in initial operational plant capacity to provide solutions for lower-grade material that can’t be processed at its other plants due to the cost of transport. The first phase of the project completed in December 2025, although certain licences need to be put in place before operations can begin.

The company’s recovery operations recover around 2,000 ounces (oz) of gold and other metals a month, through various circuits and under different contracts. Extraction processes include roasting in a rotary kiln, crushing, milling, flotation, gravity concentration and the leaching and smelting of bullion. The number of ounces recovered is dependent on the type and volume of material supplied and the grade, recovery rates, margins and contract terms. At least 70 per cent of material produced is exposed to the fluctuation in the gold price, with the remainder being offset by corresponding changes in raw materials costs. As a result, margins tend to fluctuate month to month.

Goldplat has a JORC-defined resource (dated 29 January 2016) of 1.43mn tonnes at 1.78g grammes per tonne (g/t) for 81,959 oz of gold over part of its active tailings storage facility (TSF) at its operation in South Africa. Since the resource estimate was completed, more than 0.8mn tonnes of material have been deposited on the TSF, at grades of circa 1.45g/t. Having constructed a new TSF adjacent to its existing facility, Goldplat has sufficient capacity to store tailings it will produce at its current operations for a further four years.

Goldplat mineral resource estimate: tailings storage facility in South Africa
Class Tonnes (mn) Density Gold (g/t) Gold (oz) U3O8 (g/t) U3O8 (lbs) Silver (g/t) Silver (oz)
Measured 0.87 1.32 1.82 50,907 61.4 117,754 4.85 135,573
Indicated 0.49 1.37 1.77 27,897 59.7 64,506 4.71 74,165
Inferred 0.07 1.3 1.4 3,154 71.4 11,016 2.82 6,356
Total 1.43 1.34 1.78 81,959 61.3 193,276 4.7 216,094
Source: Goldplat first-quarter results (14 November 2025). g/t = grammes per tonne.

The recovery operations continue to deliver profitable results, albeit operating profit fell sharply from £9.8mn to £3.8mn on 22 per cent lower revenue of £56.7mn in the 12 months to 30 June 2025. This was due to lower gold sales as a result of a business model change in Ghana and a decrease in high-grade low-margin batches processed in that country. During the financial year, the Ghanaian operation went through a change in business model, to address Ghanaian authorities’ preference for the beneficiation of concentrate to be done locally. This has necessitated recovering gold in concentrates locally in the form of dore bars, which can then be sold to international refiners.

Increasing capacity and processing the gold-bearing material on site, as well as making changes to its existing plant, required an investment of £0.76mn. In total, Goldplat invested £1.25mn in its Ghana business in the 2024-25 financial year.

Although annual pre-tax profit from the Ghana operation fell from £5.2mn to £2.2mn, it has now started to rebound, increasing by 25 per cent to £1.12mn in the first quarter of the 2025-26 financial year. Moreover, the gold price has surged 20 per cent to $4,690 an oz since the end of its first quarter (30 September 2025), which underpins the ongoing recovery of earnings.

In addition, first-quarter pre-tax profit from Goldplat’s South African operations more than doubled to £1.25mn. The performance was buoyed by an increase in supply from South America, a one-off transaction with a local supplier, improved cost management and the rising gold price.

House broker Zeus Capital is pencilling in 120 per cent growth in pre-tax profit to £4.4mn and a trebling of earnings per share (EPS) to 1.8p in the 12 months to 30 June 2026. However, the company is trading materially ahead of forecasts as the two operations generated combined pre-tax profit of £2.4mn (excluding head office and listing costs) in the first quarter alone. Before imminent earnings upgrades, the shares trade on a forward price/earnings (PE) ratio of 6.5.

Goldplat income statement analysis
12 months to 30 June  2022 (£mn) 2023 (£mn) 2024 (£mn) 2025 (£mn) 2026E (£mn)
Revenue 43.2 41.9 72.7 56.7 50
Operating costs -33.2 -34.5 -59.8 -47.5 -39.8
Overheads -2.3 -3.1 -3.1 -4.4 -3.6
Ebitda 7.7 4.3 9.7 4.7 6.7
Depreciation - - - -1 -0.8
Operating profit 7.7 4.3 9.7 3.7 5.9
Net finance costs -1.9 -0.9 -3.8 -1.8 -1.5
Pre-tax profit (clean) 5.8 3.4 6.0 2.0 4.4
Income tax  -1.9 -0.4 -1.7 -0.8 -1
Profit after tax 3.9 3.1 4.3 1.2 3.4
Fully diluted EPS 2.05p 1.65p 2.49p 0.60p 1.80p
Dividend per share nil nil nil nil 0.20p
PE ratio 5.7 7.1 4.7 19.5 6.5
Dividend yield nil nil nil nil 1.7%
Source: Goldplat, Zeus Capital (15 December 2025)

Moreover, Goldplat’s net cash of £6.1mn (30 June 2025) is forecast to increase to £8.4mn by the same point this year, buoyed by the improved operating performance and cash generation. That sum equates to 42 per cent of the company’s market capitalisation of £20.1mn. On this basis, Goldplat’s enterprise valuation of £11.7mn equates to twice operating profit estimates of £5.9mn.

Goldplat cash flow analysis
12 months to 30 June  2022 (£mn) 2023 (£mn) 2024 (£mn) 2025 (£mn) 2026E (£mn)
Cash from operating activities 3.0 3.3 3.9 6 4.6
Net cash used in investing -4.2 -1.3 -0.9 -1.5 -1.5
Net cash used in financing 1.8 -2.1 -1.3 -0.9 -0.7
Net change in cash  0.6 0 1.7 3.6 2.3
Opening cash 3.5 3.9 2.8 3.9 6.1
Effect of foreign currency movements -0.2 -1.1 -0.6 -1.4 -
Closing cash 3.9 2.8 3.9 6.1 8.4
Source: Goldplat, Zeus Capital (15 December 2025)

The bargain basement earnings multiple aside, the shares trade on a deep 16 per cent discount to net asset value (14p) even though Goldplat has a rock solid balance sheet with high levels of liquidity, as highlighted by a current ratio (current assets/current liabilities) of 1.7 times at its 2025 financial year-end.

Goldplat balance sheet analysis
12 months to 30 June  2022 (£mn) 2023 (£mn) 2024 (£mn) 2025 (£mn) 2026E (£mn)
Non-current assets 10.7 11.1 11.9 11.9 11.8
Cash  3.9 3.00 4.1 6.1 8.4
Other current assets 22.9 49.4 33.9 25.4 27
Current assets 26.8 52.4 38.0 31.5 35.4
Total assets 37.6 63.5 49.9 43.5 47.2
Total non-current liabilities 3.4 1.6 1.9 1.4 1.4
Total current liabilities 16.4 44.6 27.6 18.3 19.00
Total equity 17.8 17.3 20.5 23.8 26.8
Total equity and liabilities 37.6 63.5 49.9 43.5 47.2
Net assets 17.8 17.3 20.5 23.8 26.8
Source: Goldplat, Zeus Capital (15 December 2025)

The shares offer a decent income, too. The board has started paying dividends and declared an interim payout of 0.117p per share in December 2025. Based on Zeus’ full-year dividend per share estimate of 0.2p, the shares offer a prospective dividend yield of 1.7 per cent.

If you value Goldplat’s recovery operations on a more sensible multiple of five times operating profit estimates of £5.9mn for the current financial year, this implies a standalone valuation of £29.5mn (17.25p). Then there is the net cash, which is forecast to rise to £8.4mn (4.9p) by mid-year, or possibly even higher if the company exceeds analysts’ earnings expectations.

On this basis, a fair valuation of 22p for the equity – or almost double the share price – is a reasonable target. Zeus’ conservative fair valuation of 15.1p (pre-upgrades) still offers material upside to the current share price. Buy.